NFL power rankings: Are we 2nd or 5th

ThePro
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Re: NFL power rankings: Are we 2nd or 5th

Post by ThePro » Tue Dec 03, 2019 11:48 pm

Donn Beach wrote:
Tue Dec 03, 2019 11:40 pm
so its looking like, this is the end of Brady....
I'm not writing that Eulogy until that body is in the coffin and covered up with dirt. Patriots are 10-2.

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D-train
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Re: NFL power rankings: Are we 2nd or 5th

Post by D-train » Tue Dec 03, 2019 11:53 pm

Donn Beach wrote:
Tue Dec 03, 2019 11:40 pm
so its looking like, this is the end of Brady....
Yep, he has been traded to a hospice facility.
dt

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Donn Beach
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Re: NFL power rankings: Are we 2nd or 5th

Post by Donn Beach » Wed Dec 04, 2019 12:21 am

was looking at that, guess he is missing Gronkowski, he also might be injured
Even before Sunday's dismal showing, Brady's numbers were disappointing. In fact, the late surge against a relatively disinterested Texans defense in the fourth quarter meant that Brady's statistics actually improved slightly after cratering following the Cowboys game. From Week 4 on, Brady has been unrecognizable from his usual self:

To put that in context, of the league's 33 qualifying quarterbacks since Week 4, Brady ranks 30th in completion percentage, 30th in yards per attempt, 29th in passer rating and 24th in Total QBR. His rate stats since Week 4 are roughly in line with those of Mitchell Trubisky, who has completed 63.2% of his passes, averaged 6.3 yards per attempt, thrown two touchdowns for every interception and posted a passer rating of 85.7 to go with a QBR of 40.4. Bears fans might have been excited to hear that Trubisky would be compared to Brady in 2019, but this is not a fawning comparison for either passer.

A better measure of how Brady has struggled would be to calculate his rolling baseline adjusted yards per attempt (AY/A), which is a more precisely weighted version of passer rating. We use the league's adjusted yards per attempt for each week, weight them for how frequently Brady threw passes in each week, and then compare them to Brady's actual numbers.

Brady has thrown 18 touchdown passes and six interceptions while completing 61.1% of his passes this season. Brady bottomed out after the Cowboys game, when he had racked up just 5.9 adjusted yards per attempt over a nine-game span. The weighted average AY/A over that time frame was at 7.1 yards, so Brady was 17.1% below league average over that time frame. Outside of one nine-week stretch in 2013, that's the worst mark he has posted over a nine-game span since 2003. He got back up to 6.5 AY/A over the past nine weeks after the Texans game, but that's still below league average. Even if you include those first three games, his AY/A+ for the full season is below average for the first time in his career as a starter.

https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/282 ... her-mirage

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