Not to beat a dead horse, but 3rd downs!

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Michael K.
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Not to beat a dead horse, but 3rd downs!

Post by Michael K. » Fri Nov 01, 2019 7:27 pm

In today's fan fix from Mike Vorel of the Times.
In the Halloween spirit, let’s analyze the scariest statistic for Washington’s erratic offense.

In 2016, the Huskies converted 44.12% of their third down attempts, ranking third in the Pac-12.

In 2017 and 2018, they finished first — at 45.39% and 45.36%, respectively.

The conclusion: even as other aspects of the offense fluctuated, UW produced a relatively consistent third-down conversion rate.

Which makes this season’s dramatic decline all the more surprising.

Through eight games this fall, Washington is moving the chains on 35.35% of its third down tries, which ranks 106th nationally and 11th in the Pac-12 (only ahead of California). They’re converting 41.38% in wins and 26.83% in losses. The chasm is even more evident in conference play, where UW is converting just 25.76% of the time (as opposed to 54.55% in the nonconference.)

It doesn’t matter, apparently, that Washington touts a talented quarterback, an experienced offensive line and a corps of capable running backs.

Any way you slice it, the Huskies are (literally) falling short.
No surprise here. Also no surprise to anyone that Chris Petersen's response pisses me the Hell off!
“One thing, you mentioned it earlier, one thing that might have changed us a little bit on third down was when Rich (Newton) went down. He's an effective runner in those situations, those third-and-medium situations. But we still have a good scheme. We've still got guys who can make plays, but we've got to get better in those situations."
In other words? We don't know what to do because we can't run the WildCat and we only know how to convert 3rd downs when our first round pick of a QB is standing on the sidelines watching!

You just can't make this shit up. Do you think that Dabo Sweeney has ever answered to why he lost a huge rivalry game because he failed twice on third down, and Watson, Kelly Bryant or Trevor Lawrence were out so they could run Wildcat!? It is almost as if they only have one game plan, and it is the same for Cyler Miles, Jake Browning or Jacob Eason!

Part of Vorel's prediction?
Washington, on the other side, will struggle to consistently run the ball against the nation’s premier rushing defense. It’ll also continue to hit predictably frustrating roadblocks in the red zone. Junior quarterback Jacob Eason will make a few noteworthy plays, but not enough.
A little different than mine, but makes sense. I truely believe we will blow a lead late, and it will happen because we fail to move the ball on offense, lose the lead, then are forced to punt and watch the last six minutes melt away after tackler after tackler are drug past the sticks with another third down run were we have two safeties playing prevent 20 yards off the ball hoping that our front 7 magically got better over the bye week.

Eason is not Browning or Miles and this defense doesn't hold a candle to the past five or so years. STOP FREAKING COACHING LIKE THAT ISN'T THE TRUTH!

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Sibelius Hindemith
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Re: Not to beat a dead horse, but 3rd downs!

Post by Sibelius Hindemith » Sun Nov 03, 2019 12:00 am

6 for 16 today for a 37.5% conversion rate. Quite a remarkable improvement.

Michael K.
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Re: Not to beat a dead horse, but 3rd downs!

Post by Michael K. » Sun Nov 03, 2019 12:09 am

I am pissed about coaching. Today our players stunk. 30 to 7 was the score after er got ahead. Most of those 3rd Down failures? Came with the chance to extend a lead. We sucked...plain and simple. How many turnovers and points off were handed to us? Instead of capitalizing we pissed our pants.

IStillLoveTheMs
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Re: Not to beat a dead horse, but 3rd downs!

Post by IStillLoveTheMs » Sun Nov 03, 2019 12:48 am

I wouldn't call allowing a mediocre QB to complete wide open passes on 3rd and long an improvement. Part of that is on the players... the other is rushing 3 and giving a QB with happy feet who has always choked against the Dawgs 6 years to throw it.

Hampton and Molden should be embarrassed. Same w/ Lake.

The hell has happened to our secondary?

Michael K.
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Re: Not to beat a dead horse, but 3rd downs!

Post by Michael K. » Sun Nov 03, 2019 1:55 am

At one point we rushed three, the Utah QB took two steps and threw immediately, and the Utah receiver was still wide open. 8 in coverage, 2 seconds to throw and we still cant cover? That's on the players.

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Sibelius Hindemith
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Re: Not to beat a dead horse, but 3rd downs!

Post by Sibelius Hindemith » Sun Nov 03, 2019 5:19 pm

It was on that 3rd and 12 play near the beginning of the 4th quarter where Huntley completed the 41 yard pass that you could tell the Huskies were pretty much done. Moments later Utah put it in the endzone to take a 26-21 lead. Then the Huskies responded with a 3 play 2 yard drive. :roll:

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