I mean fine. I understand basic statistics.harmony wrote: ↑Sun Mar 20, 2022 11:17 pmBaseball projections systems always compare their projections to the results (and compare their projections and results to the projections and results of other projection systems). It's a competitive business.Seattle or Bust wrote: ↑Sun Mar 20, 2022 10:43 pmPoint being, it's really not impressive for a website to say "oh, Dylan Moore had a .615 OPS last year? Ok. He will hit for a .650 OPS this year." How on God's green earth would they know that? And what would they say if he hits for a .750 OPS? What if he catches absolute fire like a Max Muncy and has a .900 OPS? Do they apologize?
A basic understanding of baseball analytics is recommended:
https://library.fangraphs.com/getting-started/
... at least an understanding of basic statistics.
Analytics power most industries, not just baseball.
But I don't find it impressive AT ALL when a website like Fangraphs looks at a below-average baseball player and says, "they're going to continue to be below average."
I would find it immensely more impressive if they looked at a below-average baseball player and predicted that they would break out.
The Mariners aren't starting Jarred Kelenic in left field because they think he's going to hit for a .729 OPS.