What to expect from this offseason's acquisitions going forward

DavidGee24
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What to expect from this offseason's acquisitions going forward

Post by DavidGee24 » Fri May 10, 2024 8:10 pm

GARVER: "Hey, here's a great idea, let's sign the guy who's the worst hitter in the history of T-Mobile Park!" I swear, some of the swings he takes look like they're coming from some hobo they pulled out of the stands who's trying to grab the ladder on a boxcar going 93 MPH. We were never going to get the 2023 version of Garver and we're not even going to get the 2022 version (OPS .702). On the bright side, he's hitting .156 higher (.156) at T-Mobile than he was coming into this season.

HANIGER: whose brilliant idea was it to reacquire him? He's 33, crippled by injuries, was clearly on the decline, and we're lucky we're even getting 2023 production from him...except that he's also one of the worst defensive outfielders in the game. I'd anticipate him staying on his present pace for the entire season unless (or more specifically, when) he gets injured again. We should have kept Robbie Ray, or at most traded him for someone not for the purpose of a "happy reunion".

POLANCO: three off-seasons in a row we've acquired a good second baseman and watched them all completely wilt in a Mariner uniform. This has to be the first time in MLB history that something like this has ever happened to a franchise at any position on the field other than pitcher. That Polanco is on pace to strike out almost 100 times more than his career worst 118 is unfathomable, you can't make this shit up. And I've noticed that he can't hit fastballs at all. I think he won't stay as bad as he is, but we're definitely not going to end up with what the Twins had. I'm thinking .210-.220 with 15-20 home runs.

RALEY: Puke and his .603 OPS who swings at everything. He should be better than this. Or maybe he's just going to end up with a Daniel Vogelbach-type of career where he lives off of one great half-season. I just don't know what to predict for this guy although I'm optimistic that he'll actually be a decent player. Let's go with that.

URIAS: his career pretty much ended in 2023 and not much has changed. He's hit a few home runs and that's about it. He'll likely maintain his present pace throughout his one and only season as a Mariner.

ZAVALA: how does this guy have 14 career home runs when every ball he's knocked the shit out of this season has ended up in the left fielder's glove? We actually decided we'd rather have him than Tom Murphy, although Murph has been even worse for the Giants. I'd be surprised if by the end of this season Zavala's still our backup catcher.
Last edited by DavidGee24 on Fri May 10, 2024 9:34 pm, edited 1 time in total.

Big_Maple
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Re: What to expect from this offseason's acquisitions going forward

Post by Big_Maple » Fri May 10, 2024 8:55 pm

Well, that was sobering, David. :|


At this rate, the team will have to play round robin, ro sham bo to decide who gets to represent the M's in the all star game.

harmony
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Location: Portland OR

Re: What to expect from this offseason's acquisitions going forward

Post by harmony » Sat May 11, 2024 12:11 am

DavidGee24 wrote:
Fri May 10, 2024 8:10 pm
GARVER: "Hey, here's a great idea, let's sign the guy who's the worst hitter in the history of T-Mobile Park!" I swear, some of the swings he takes look like they're coming from some hobo they pulled out of the stands who's trying to grab the ladder on a boxcar going 93 MPH. We were never going to get the 2023 version of Garver and we're not even going to get the 2022 version (OPS .702). On the bright side, he's hitting .156 higher (.156) at T-Mobile than he was coming into this season.

HANIGER: whose brilliant idea was it to reacquire him? He's 33, crippled by injuries, was clearly on the decline, and we're lucky we're even getting 2023 production from him...except that he's also one of the worst defensive outfielders in the game. I'd anticipate him staying on his present pace for the entire season unless (or more specifically, when) he gets injured again. We should have kept Robbie Ray, or at most traded him for someone not for the purpose of a "happy reunion".

POLANCO: three off-seasons in a row we've acquired a good second baseman and watched them all completely wilt in a Mariner uniform. This has to be the first time in MLB history that something like this has ever happened to a franchise at any position on the field other than pitcher. That Polanco is on pace to strike out almost 100 times more than his career worst 118 is unfathomable, you can't make this shit up. And I've noticed that he can't hit fastballs at all. I think he won't stay as bad as he is, but we're definitely not going to end up with what the Twins had. I'm thinking .210-.220 with 15-20 home runs.

RALEY: Puke and his .603 OPS who swings at everything. He should be better than this. Or maybe he's just going to end up with a Daniel Vogelbach-type of career where he lives off of one great half-season. I just don't know what to predict for this guy although I'm optimistic that he'll actually be a decent player. Let's go with that.

URIAS: his career pretty much ended in 2023 and not much has changed. He's hit a few home runs and that's about it. He'll likely maintain his present pace throughout his one and only season as a Mariner.

ZAVALA: how does this guy have 14 career home runs when every ball he's knocked the shit out of this season has ended up in the left fielder's glove? We actually decided we'd rather have him than Tom Murphy, although Murph has been even worse for the Giants. I'd be surprised if by the end of this season Zavala's still our backup catcher.
https://www.fangraphs.com/projections?p ... g=&team=11

https://www.fangraphs.com/projections?p ... g=&team=11

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Donn Beach
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Re: What to expect from this offseason's acquisitions going forward

Post by Donn Beach » Sat May 11, 2024 1:37 am

I'd say those are fairly optimistic

harmony
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Location: Portland OR

Re: What to expect from this offseason's acquisitions going forward

Post by harmony » Sat May 11, 2024 3:57 am

Donn Beach wrote:
Sat May 11, 2024 1:37 am
I'd say those are fairly optimistic
Fans are susceptible to recency bias, especially with newly acquired players.

Seattle or Bust
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Re: What to expect from this offseason's acquisitions going forward

Post by Seattle or Bust » Sat May 11, 2024 8:10 am

harmony wrote:
Sat May 11, 2024 3:57 am
Donn Beach wrote:
Sat May 11, 2024 1:37 am
I'd say those are fairly optimistic
Fans are susceptible to recency bias, especially with newly acquired players.
So are you a robot then?

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D-train
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Re: What to expect from this offseason's acquisitions going forward

Post by D-train » Sat May 11, 2024 11:51 am

Seattle or Bust wrote:
Sat May 11, 2024 8:10 am
harmony wrote:
Sat May 11, 2024 3:57 am
Donn Beach wrote:
Sat May 11, 2024 1:37 am
I'd say those are fairly optimistic
Fans are susceptible to recency bias, especially with newly acquired players.
So are you a robot then?
No, just a Superior Rational Being like Spock on Star Trek relative to us Wild and Crazy lunatic Human fans.

https://www.google.com/search?sca_esv=e ... yBdR0,st:0
dt

Seattle or Bust
Posts: 5460
Joined: Wed Mar 09, 2022 7:09 pm

Re: What to expect from this offseason's acquisitions going forward

Post by Seattle or Bust » Sat May 11, 2024 3:44 pm

D-train wrote:
Sat May 11, 2024 11:51 am
Seattle or Bust wrote:
Sat May 11, 2024 8:10 am
harmony wrote:
Sat May 11, 2024 3:57 am

Fans are susceptible to recency bias, especially with newly acquired players.
So are you a robot then?
No, just a Superior Rational Being like Spock on Star Trek relative to us Wild and Crazy lunatic Human fans.

https://www.google.com/search?sca_esv=e ... yBdR0,st:0
Who knew that an inability to have an original thought made someone so superior?

harmony
Posts: 1386
Joined: Thu May 02, 2019 4:59 pm
Location: Portland OR

Re: What to expect from this offseason's acquisitions going forward

Post by harmony » Sat May 11, 2024 5:47 pm

Seattle or Bust wrote:
Sat May 11, 2024 8:10 am
harmony wrote:
Sat May 11, 2024 3:57 am
Donn Beach wrote:
Sat May 11, 2024 1:37 am
I'd say those are fairly optimistic
Fans are susceptible to recency bias, especially with newly acquired players.
So are you a robot then?
I am secure enough to welcome statistical challenges to my gut reactions.

Somewhat unrelated, but the current lecture in my sports analytics course discusses the data generated by a single event. The video example showed Shohei Ohtani homering off Logan Gilbert on a 3-1 count.

Seattle or Bust
Posts: 5460
Joined: Wed Mar 09, 2022 7:09 pm

Re: What to expect from this offseason's acquisitions going forward

Post by Seattle or Bust » Sat May 11, 2024 5:56 pm

harmony wrote:
Sat May 11, 2024 5:47 pm
Seattle or Bust wrote:
Sat May 11, 2024 8:10 am
harmony wrote:
Sat May 11, 2024 3:57 am

Fans are susceptible to recency bias, especially with newly acquired players.
So are you a robot then?
I am secure enough to welcome statistical challenges to my gut reactions.

Somewhat unrelated, but the current lecture in my sports analytics course discusses the data generated by a single event. The video example showed Shohei Ohtani homering off Logan Gilbert on a 3-1 count.
You have no gut reactions.

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