So it begins, The official Hot Stove League Thread 2024-25 Offseason

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bpj
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Re: So it begins, The official Hot Stove League Thread 2024-25 Offseason

Post by bpj » Fri Dec 20, 2024 6:26 pm

Here is Jose Abreu and Christian Walker in the three seasons before the Astros signed them-
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Donn Beach
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Re: So it begins, The official Hot Stove League Thread 2024-25 Offseason

Post by Donn Beach » Fri Dec 20, 2024 6:55 pm

Seems to be a lesson there not to ignore peripherals. I don't think the Astros had a GM when they signed abreu, that was Hart
It was an unfathomable decline for a former AL MVP who was a consistent force in the middle of the White Sox lineup for nine years prior to signing in Houston. Even detractors who pointed to red flags in his batted-ball profile and declining power in his final year with Chicago couldn’t have reasonably predicted a drop-off of such extreme magnitude.

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D-train
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Re: So it begins, The official Hot Stove League Thread 2024-25 Offseason

Post by D-train » Fri Dec 20, 2024 7:07 pm

GL_Storm wrote:
Fri Dec 20, 2024 6:25 pm
Glad to see Walker signing elsewhere.
Yep, I didn't get the love affair with that guy.....$20M a year for his age 34-36 seasons. Good luck with that.
dt

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bpj
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Re: So it begins, The official Hot Stove League Thread 2024-25 Offseason

Post by bpj » Fri Dec 20, 2024 7:24 pm

Donn Beach wrote:
Fri Dec 20, 2024 6:34 pm
Here's another comparison


https://x.com/BenDuBose/status/18701689 ... gr%5Etweet
Like Abreu, it wouldn't be the end of the world if it was a one year deal.

GL_Storm
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Re: So it begins, The official Hot Stove League Thread 2024-25 Offseason

Post by GL_Storm » Fri Dec 20, 2024 7:31 pm

Donn Beach wrote:
Fri Dec 20, 2024 6:55 pm
Seems to be a lesson there not to ignore peripherals. I don't think the Astros had a GM when they signed abreu, that was Hart
It was an unfathomable decline for a former AL MVP who was a consistent force in the middle of the White Sox lineup for nine years prior to signing in Houston. Even detractors who pointed to red flags in his batted-ball profile and declining power in his final year with Chicago couldn’t have reasonably predicted a drop-off of such extreme magnitude.
I think these things extreme drop offs will become more common in the current era of pitching.

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D-train
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Re: So it begins, The official Hot Stove League Thread 2024-25 Offseason

Post by D-train » Fri Dec 20, 2024 8:35 pm

GL_Storm wrote:
Fri Dec 20, 2024 7:31 pm
Donn Beach wrote:
Fri Dec 20, 2024 6:55 pm
Seems to be a lesson there not to ignore peripherals. I don't think the Astros had a GM when they signed abreu, that was Hart
It was an unfathomable decline for a former AL MVP who was a consistent force in the middle of the White Sox lineup for nine years prior to signing in Houston. Even detractors who pointed to red flags in his batted-ball profile and declining power in his final year with Chicago couldn’t have reasonably predicted a drop-off of such extreme magnitude.
I think these things extreme drop offs will become more common in the current era of pitching.
And as I mentioned they will happen earlier and earlier....turning 30 will be a death sentence.
dt

Big_Maple
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Re: So it begins, The official Hot Stove League Thread 2024-25 Offseason

Post by Big_Maple » Fri Dec 20, 2024 8:46 pm

According to Nightengale, we are one of 5 teams having conversations about Goldschmidt.

5 or 10 years ago I would have been all “hell, yeah!” Now? Not so much.

tehmc
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Re: So it begins, The official Hot Stove League Thread 2024-25 Offseason

Post by tehmc » Fri Dec 20, 2024 9:06 pm

Big_Maple wrote:
Fri Dec 20, 2024 8:46 pm
According to Nightengale, we are one of 5 teams having conversations about Goldschmidt.

5 or 10 years ago I would have been all “hell, yeah!” Now? Not so much.
To be fair he had a 136 OPS+ against LHP last year so if hes at a low cost and is just sharing time with Luke Raley at 1B only then maybe it'll turn out ok.

I do hate these dumpster diving acquisitions, stop trying to outsmart everyone else and just acquire players that put your team in the best position to succeed.

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Re: So it begins, The official Hot Stove League Thread 2024-25 Offseason

Post by Captain 97 » Fri Dec 20, 2024 9:24 pm

bpj wrote:
Fri Dec 20, 2024 6:26 pm
Here is Jose Abreu and Christian Walker in the three seasons before the Astros signed them-
They have completely different body types and swings. What evidence is there to say that Walker will follow Abreu's trajectory? I could just as easily put up a comparison of Nelson Cruz who came to the M's at age 34 with an 91 HR, and an OPS of OPS of .826 in the previous 3 seasons.

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