Fun thread to read.bpj wrote: ↑Sat Jan 30, 2021 11:43 amArenado is a guy who has been a product of his home park in my opinion.
The guy hits. 200 OPS higher at home than on the road for his career.
In 2020 he had an OPS in road games of .636
By comparison, Mallex Smiths 2019 he had a .635 OPS.
That's a risky acquisition at $150M over 6 years imo.
The Cardinals are a pretty smart organization, maybe they see the problem.
My guess is Arenado becomes a big disappointment for them. They've got themselves a $150M player that is a cumulative .800 OPS guy going forward imo. There aren't many of those. In a bad way.
Career and 2020 OPS splits below:
Other than paying $30M+ for him to go away, he was probably better than I'd have expected.
His cumulative OPS since this post is lower than I even predicted, but he was still 12% better than the average bat according to wRC+ over that period.
According to wOBA- which I personally believe is the current Gold standard for evaluating a players production with the bat- since this thread, Arenado had a .332 wOBA, which made him the offensive equivalent of Jorge Polanco, Jazz Chisholm, Christian Walker, Elly de la Cruz, Josh Bell, and Daniel Vogelbach, while being paid like a star.
