Finally! Official Hot Stove League Thread

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Donn Beach
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Re: Finally! Official Hot Stove League Thread

Post by Donn Beach » Mon Dec 26, 2022 9:20 pm

Crawford put up 2.8 WAR, that's a waste of $10 mil?

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D-train
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Re: Finally! Official Hot Stove League Thread

Post by D-train » Mon Dec 26, 2022 10:07 pm

Donn Beach wrote:
Mon Dec 26, 2022 9:20 pm
Crawford put up 2.8 WAR, that's a waste of $10 mil?
Not the $10M but the fact it resulted on them passing on all the FA SSs the past 2 off seasons...
dt

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Donn Beach
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Re: Finally! Official Hot Stove League Thread

Post by Donn Beach » Mon Dec 26, 2022 10:14 pm

You really believe that if they didn't have Crawford they be signing a $300 mil SS? A team that spent $1.5 mil in FA

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D-train
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Re: Finally! Official Hot Stove League Thread

Post by D-train » Mon Dec 26, 2022 10:19 pm

Donn Beach wrote:
Mon Dec 26, 2022 10:14 pm
You really believe that if they didn't have Crawford they be signing a $300 mil SS? A team that spent $1.5 mil in FA
$1.2M :lol:
dt

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bpj
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Re: Finally! Official Hot Stove League Thread

Post by bpj » Tue Dec 27, 2022 12:28 am

Sometimes I forget why they stopped letting him spend money, then remember how he's allocated money previously...

2016:
Aoki $5.5M
Lind $8M
Miley $6M
Seth Smith $6.75M
Iannetta $4.25M
Cishek $4M
Benoit $8M
TOTAL: $42.5M
As % of Payroll: 29.86%
Total WAR: 3.0
$/WAR: $14.17M

2017:
Gallardo $9M
Smyly $6.85M
Cishek $6M
Valencia $5.5M
Rzepczynski $5.5M
Ruiz $4.5M
TOTAL: $37.35M
As % of Payroll: 24.2%
Total WAR: -0.3
$/WAR: error

2018:
Gordon $10.8M
Nicasio $7.75M
David Phelps $5.5M
Rzepczynski $5.5M
TOTAL: $29.6M
As % of Payroll: 18.75%
Total WAR: 0.5
$/WAR: $59.2M

2019:
Gordon $13.3M
Kikuchi $9.5M
TOTAL: $22.8M
As % of Payroll: 15.56%
Total WAR: 0.7
$/WAR: $32.57M

2020:
Kikuchi $16M
Gordon $13.74M
Mallex Smith $2.35M
TOTAL: $32M
Short season

2021:
Kikuchi $16.5M
Paxton $8.5M
Montero $2.25M
TOTAL: $27.25M
As % of Payroll: 37.12%
Total WAR: 1.4
$/WAR: $19.46M

2022:
Frazier $8M
Winker $6.75M
Giles $5.25M
Romo $2M
White $1.4M
TOTAL: $23.4M
As % of Payroll: 22.52%
Total WAR: 0.9
$/WAR: $26M

From this group of players, over 6 years (covid pass for 2020), these players accumulated 6.2 WAR for a cost of $182.9M, good for a $/WAR cost of $29.5M

In a market where they estimate one WAR is worth ~$8M on the free agent market, Dipoto paid $29.5M/WAR for these bums.

And got a promotion.

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ddraig
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Re: Finally! Official Hot Stove League Thread

Post by ddraig » Tue Dec 27, 2022 1:25 am

Exactly why most of us think DiPoto doesn't deserve a job!

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Donn Beach
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Re: Finally! Official Hot Stove League Thread

Post by Donn Beach » Tue Dec 27, 2022 8:37 am

bpj wrote:
Tue Dec 27, 2022 12:28 am
Sometimes I forget why they stopped letting him spend money, then remember how he's allocated money previously...

2016:
Aoki $5.5M
Lind $8M
Miley $6M
Seth Smith $6.75M
Iannetta $4.25M
Cishek $4M
Benoit $8M
TOTAL: $42.5M
As % of Payroll: 29.86%
Total WAR: 3.0
$/WAR: $14.17M

2017:
Gallardo $9M
Smyly $6.85M
Cishek $6M
Valencia $5.5M
Rzepczynski $5.5M
Ruiz $4.5M
TOTAL: $37.35M
As % of Payroll: 24.2%
Total WAR: -0.3
$/WAR: error

2018:
Gordon $10.8M
Nicasio $7.75M
David Phelps $5.5M
Rzepczynski $5.5M
TOTAL: $29.6M
As % of Payroll: 18.75%
Total WAR: 0.5
$/WAR: $59.2M

2019:
Gordon $13.3M
Kikuchi $9.5M
TOTAL: $22.8M
As % of Payroll: 15.56%
Total WAR: 0.7
$/WAR: $32.57M

2020:
Kikuchi $16M
Gordon $13.74M
Mallex Smith $2.35M
TOTAL: $32M
Short season

2021:
Kikuchi $16.5M
Paxton $8.5M
Montero $2.25M
TOTAL: $27.25M
As % of Payroll: 37.12%
Total WAR: 1.4
$/WAR: $19.46M

2022:
Frazier $8M
Winker $6.75M
Giles $5.25M
Romo $2M
White $1.4M
TOTAL: $23.4M
As % of Payroll: 22.52%
Total WAR: 0.9
$/WAR: $26M

From this group of players, over 6 years (covid pass for 2020), these players accumulated 6.2 WAR for a cost of $182.9M, good for a $/WAR cost of $29.5M

In a market where they estimate one WAR is worth ~$8M on the free agent market, Dipoto paid $29.5M/WAR for these bums.

And got a promotion.
It would be relative to the success rate of other GMs, nobody is 100% efficient, wonder what it be

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Donn Beach
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Re: Finally! Official Hot Stove League Thread

Post by Donn Beach » Tue Dec 27, 2022 8:50 am

See where the Times has it looks like a couple of stories putting dipoto on the defensive over the lack of action. Divish putting some heat on.
“We would like to add more offense if we could,” Mariners general manager Justin Hollander said. “We’d like to create more advantage either by platoons or just depth as we get deeper into the offseason. And then if something else presents itself that makes our team better, we are open to that.”
.We are doing it a different way
From Kramer, four reasons the mariners could improve in 2023, don't think you will be excited over them

https://www.google.com/search?q=mariner ... e6Ao_117:0

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bpj
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Re: Finally! Official Hot Stove League Thread

Post by bpj » Tue Dec 27, 2022 9:06 am

I don't think we would find any with a worse $/WAR spanning several seasons, or a worse rate of success in his picks.

Especially that got a promotion after.

You could make a short term case with the Angels spending $57.6M on Rendon and Syndergarrd in 2022 and only getting 2.0 total fWAR.

But at $28.8M/WAR, even that barely comes close to Dipoto's average of spending $29.5M/WAR across his 6 full seasons for all of his bad choices.

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D-train
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Re: Finally! Official Hot Stove League Thread

Post by D-train » Tue Dec 27, 2022 11:27 am

bpj wrote:
Tue Dec 27, 2022 12:28 am
Sometimes I forget why they stopped letting him spend money, then remember how he's allocated money previously...

2016:
Aoki $5.5M
Lind $8M
Miley $6M
Seth Smith $6.75M
Iannetta $4.25M
Cishek $4M
Benoit $8M
TOTAL: $42.5M
As % of Payroll: 29.86%
Total WAR: 3.0
$/WAR: $14.17M

2017:
Gallardo $9M
Smyly $6.85M
Cishek $6M
Valencia $5.5M
Rzepczynski $5.5M
Ruiz $4.5M
TOTAL: $37.35M
As % of Payroll: 24.2%
Total WAR: -0.3
$/WAR: error

2018:
Gordon $10.8M
Nicasio $7.75M
David Phelps $5.5M
Rzepczynski $5.5M
TOTAL: $29.6M
As % of Payroll: 18.75%
Total WAR: 0.5
$/WAR: $59.2M

2019:
Gordon $13.3M
Kikuchi $9.5M
TOTAL: $22.8M
As % of Payroll: 15.56%
Total WAR: 0.7
$/WAR: $32.57M

2020:
Kikuchi $16M
Gordon $13.74M
Mallex Smith $2.35M
TOTAL: $32M
Short season

2021:
Kikuchi $16.5M
Paxton $8.5M
Montero $2.25M
TOTAL: $27.25M
As % of Payroll: 37.12%
Total WAR: 1.4
$/WAR: $19.46M

2022:
Frazier $8M
Winker $6.75M
Giles $5.25M
Romo $2M
White $1.4M
TOTAL: $23.4M
As % of Payroll: 22.52%
Total WAR: 0.9
$/WAR: $26M

From this group of players, over 6 years (covid pass for 2020), these players accumulated 6.2 WAR for a cost of $182.9M, good for a $/WAR cost of $29.5M

In a market where they estimate one WAR is worth ~$8M on the free agent market, Dipoto paid $29.5M/WAR for these bums.

And got a promotion.
Unreal. The number of players is a bit more than a MLB roster. If an entire roster put up 6.2 WAR they would be expected to go 54-108 and have a payroll of $182.9M which is about $50M larger than our current payroll.
dt

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