Scoreboard Watch.

[Michael K.]

their chances to make the post season today stand at about 80%, for them to miss it would be a pretty big collapse. They would need something to point to, who knows.

KC has cooled off. I'd would be a rather epic collapse if they don't make the playoffs.

[Sibelius Hindemith]

After that road trip you would have to be insane to think they have an 80% chance. The rotation is soft, or at best highly volatile. We know the issues with the bullpen.

[DanielVogelbach]

their chances to make the post season today stand at about 80%, for them to miss it would be a pretty big collapse. They would need something to point to, who knows.

They could point to their young and inexperienced manager who is learning from his mistakes.

Hopefully the collapse doesn't play out, so we won't ever know. But, I think he's completely safe even if they lose every single game the rest of the season.

[DanielVogelbach]

After that road trip you would have to be insane to think they have an 80% chance. The rotation is soft, or at best highly volatile. We know the issues with the bullpen.

I don't know what those probabilities factor in. I think they might be some weak logic not really factoring in momentum or even strength of schedule.

After the road trip I would've been closer to 60% personal gut feeling. After the bats woke up against Oak and SD I am more optimistic. I'd say I'm at around 75% at this point.

4 game lead on KC is pretty significant at this point. I don't think 80% is insane. That's still a 1 out of 5 chance for failure.

Regardless, it would be one of their most epic fails if they don't make the post season after Cal hits 50 home runs and they pick up Josh and Geno at the deadline.

We're getting through the dog days. Things are about to heat up. Games are going to get bigger and bigger.

[Donn Beach]

After that road trip you would have to be insane to think they have an 80% chance. The rotation is soft, or at best highly volatile. We know the issues with the bullpen.

its at 80% because nobody else is doing particularly better. Make the playoffs, they should win the division. After all that crap they are still only 1 1/2 games back of the Astros for Christ's sake. The Astros are stinking the place up as well. The difference is, the Astros are injured, on the other hand, the Mariners are as healthy as they have been all season. The only reason they have for not winning the division at this point is poor play. They have the opportunity to fix that, the Astros not as much. Actually miss the playoffs all together? If that was to happen I think it would justified for Wilson's employment to come under scrutiny. Canning a manager is no big deal really. It would seem to point pretty decisively in his direction. Dipoto did his part, he went out and got the reinforcements

[D-train]

their chances to make the post season today stand at about 80%, for them to miss it would be a pretty big collapse. They would need something to point to, who knows.

93% to make the playoffs and 45% to win the division. Too bad we had that terrible road trip.

https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds

[D-train]

After that road trip you would have to be insane to think they have an 80% chance. The rotation is soft, or at best highly volatile. We know the issues with the bullpen.

You must not have access to the WC standings????

[D-train]

We can pretty much look up the playoffs in KC next month if we play well between now and then.

[Donn Beach]

their chances to make the post season today stand at about 80%, for them to miss it would be a pretty big collapse. They would need something to point to, who knows.

93% to make the playoffs and 45% to win the division. Too bad we had that terrible road trip.

https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds

The luck is the Astros being as bad as they are, that's pretty incredible if you think about it, still being only 1 1/2 out. And the Mariners have the chance now to correct it, a week or two of good baseball and its in the rearview mirror. I think its less likely the Astros do that

[DanielVogelbach]

Catching Houston is somewhat irrelevant. Division Winner 3 and WC1 are basically the same and then just a matter of whether you play Red Sox or Yankees.