Re: Ms vs Angels
Posted: Sun Mar 20, 2022 10:39 pm
Yep. Dilly's gonna ride the bench more with new hitters coming in.
Hopefully he finds himself this year and helps the club.
Hopefully he finds himself this year and helps the club.
Yep. Dilly's gonna ride the bench more with new hitters coming in.
That was pre projection era. lolSeattle or Bust wrote: ↑Sun Mar 20, 2022 10:38 pmNot a big fan of projections concerning young players. Moore also had an .855 OPS in 2020 and they probably predicted him to be in the .500's.D-train wrote: ↑Sun Mar 20, 2022 10:36 pmWalton projects to have over a .700 OPS. Toro is right at .700 and Dylan is in the 600s.Seattle or Bust wrote: ↑Sun Mar 20, 2022 10:31 pm
I think Dylan Moore is a better player than Toro.
Not sure what happened with the bat last year, but I love him as the team's util.
I wonder what Brett Boone's projection was heading into 2001.
Point being, it's really not impressive for a website to say "oh, Dylan Moore had a .615 OPS last year? Ok. He will hit for a .650 OPS this year." How on God's green earth would they know that? And what would they say if he hits for a .750 OPS? What if he catches absolute fire like a Max Muncy and has a .900 OPS? Do they apologize?D-train wrote: ↑Sun Mar 20, 2022 10:41 pmThat was pre projection era. lolSeattle or Bust wrote: ↑Sun Mar 20, 2022 10:38 pmNot a big fan of projections concerning young players. Moore also had an .855 OPS in 2020 and they probably predicted him to be in the .500's.
I wonder what Brett Boone's projection was heading into 2001.
Yeah, I'm not a huge fan but its better than nothing and people can ignore it if they don't like it. Talk a look at the one harmony posted. I actually think they all look quite reasonable. Of course there will be outliers if guys break out or slump.Seattle or Bust wrote: ↑Sun Mar 20, 2022 10:43 pmPoint being, it's really not impressive for a website to say "oh, Dylan Moore had a .615 OPS last year? Ok. He will hit for a .650 OPS this year." How on God's green earth would they know that? And what would they say if he hits for a .750 OPS? What if he catches absolute fire like a Max Muncy and has a .900 OPS? Do they apologize?D-train wrote: ↑Sun Mar 20, 2022 10:41 pmThat was pre projection era. lolSeattle or Bust wrote: ↑Sun Mar 20, 2022 10:38 pm
Not a big fan of projections concerning young players. Moore also had an .855 OPS in 2020 and they probably predicted him to be in the .500's.
I wonder what Brett Boone's projection was heading into 2001.
Baseball projections systems always compare their projections to the results (and compare their projections and results to the projections and results of other projection systems). It's a competitive business.Seattle or Bust wrote: ↑Sun Mar 20, 2022 10:43 pmPoint being, it's really not impressive for a website to say "oh, Dylan Moore had a .615 OPS last year? Ok. He will hit for a .650 OPS this year." How on God's green earth would they know that? And what would they say if he hits for a .750 OPS? What if he catches absolute fire like a Max Muncy and has a .900 OPS? Do they apologize?D-train wrote: ↑Sun Mar 20, 2022 10:41 pmThat was pre projection era. lolSeattle or Bust wrote: ↑Sun Mar 20, 2022 10:38 pm
Not a big fan of projections concerning young players. Moore also had an .855 OPS in 2020 and they probably predicted him to be in the .500's.
I wonder what Brett Boone's projection was heading into 2001.
Can confirm being a forecaster in the pharma industry.harmony wrote: ↑Sun Mar 20, 2022 11:17 pmBaseball projections systems always compare their projections to the results (and compare their projections and results to the projections and results of other projection systems). It's a competitive business.Seattle or Bust wrote: ↑Sun Mar 20, 2022 10:43 pmPoint being, it's really not impressive for a website to say "oh, Dylan Moore had a .615 OPS last year? Ok. He will hit for a .650 OPS this year." How on God's green earth would they know that? And what would they say if he hits for a .750 OPS? What if he catches absolute fire like a Max Muncy and has a .900 OPS? Do they apologize?
A basic understanding of baseball analytics is recommended:
https://library.fangraphs.com/getting-started/
... at least an understanding of basic statistics.
Analytics power most industries, not just baseball.