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Recap of the past 10 months leading to missing the playoffs

Posted: Fri Sep 04, 2026 5:21 pm
by D-train
Recap of the past 10 months leading to the M's missing the playoffs

I think this is a complete indictment of the Jerry regime resulting in missing the playoffs for the 9th time in 11 seasons despite the expanded playoffs and the worst AL West and AL as a whole in history this season....fewest playoff appearance in this time frame of any Baseball exec at as long as Jerry has been.

The 2025-26 Off season

Trade Jurrangelo, Tai Peete and Ben Williamson for Donovan.
Donovan: Has been good while healthy but is made of glass and only played 39 games putting up 1.0 fWAR
Jurrangelo: ERA of 5.38 and 1.44 WHIP in AA/AAA
Williamson: 0.4 fWAR in 84 games 81 wRC+
Tai Peete: At time of the trade Peete almost looked like a throw in given his struggles in the M's system but the Cardinals seem to know how to develop hitters. He has a .296 BA and a .922 OPS in A+/AA

This trade could turn very ugly if Donovan can't stay healthy in 2027 and Peete continues to rake potentially making his MLB debut in about a year
Current grade: C-

Signing Refsnyder to a $6.25M 1 year deal
This signing was completely unnecessary given that Canzone hit LH pitching just fine in 2025 as he is currently.
Horrific .465 OPS and -1.0 fWAR
Grade: F-

Trade Harry Ford for Jose Ferrer in the famed Ford vs. Ferrari trade
Ferrer has been pretty much what he always was with a low K rate and me ERA 7 Ks per 9 3.72 ERA and 0.1 fWAR
Ford had a slow start in the Nats minors but was promoted in mid summer and has put up 0.4 WAR and .697 OPS in just 26 games.
Another trade that could get UGLY in the coming years.
Current Grade: D+

Sign Josh Naylor to a 5 year $92.5M
Blinded by the hype of being a huge fan fave during his hot 2 months in Seattle the M's brass decided to make him the biggest position players signing of the Jerry era. Prior to becoming a Mariner he had put up only ~8 fWAR in his entire career..
In 2026 he was even more underwhelming than in previous season with only 1.0 fWAR and an anemic .685 OPS
Current Grade: C-

Trade Deadline
Trade Brock Moore, Alex Hoppe and Harrison Kreiling for Taylor Ward
Hailed as an on base "Machine" due to somehow leading the league in walks, pitchers finally clued in and started throwing him strikes.
The result? Ward has somehow been and even bigger bust than Refsnyder hitting .111 with a .349 OPS
Meanwhile Hoppe as been great with the O's 0.00 ERA 1.03 WHIP in 9.2 IPs while we could have used help in the pen.
Grade: F-

Trade Luis Castillo for Boston Smith, Seranthony and Nolan Jones
Partially a salary dump other than Boston Smith I still can't believe the White Sox agreed to this trade.
Luis has been even worse for them than he was for us. 7.52 ERA and 1.70 WHIP
Boston Smith has cooled off a bit but still with a great line of .261/1.023
Nolan Jones was just a throw in and has sucked for Tacoma
Seranthony has put up a 5.40 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP. He has been pitching better after a horrible start.
Current Grade: A-

Prospects recently making their debuts:
Colt Emerson was inexplicably given almost $100M before ever playing a MLB game. After a hot start he was close to a disaster with a .581 OPS with -0.1 fWAR including negative Defensive Metrics
Cole Young has been much better than last season but still a sub .700 OPS and a mid 1.8 fWAR
Laz had a great first game and not so good second game
Kade Anderson after one of the greatest seasons in minor league history has been a disappointment with 3 very mid starts.
I have been saying the farm has been overrated for several years and it appears to be the case.
Grade: C-

The Core:
The aforementioned Naylor, Cal and Julio have all come far from meeting expectations. Your best hitter, Randy is as good as gone to FA...
The rotation has been mid and or injured.
The pen has been injured or sub par with Brash, Speier and Vargas missing significant time and Munoz blowing far too many saves. Bazardo with a rough season as well.

Grade: D+

The team is 9 games under .500 with almost no chance at the playoffs. Time for a complete house cleaning from Jerry on down to the Clubhouse attendant. I honestly can't believe anyone would defend Jerry at this point but his groupies continue to be loud and proud. lol

Re: Recap of the past 10 months leading to missing the playoffs

Posted: Fri Sep 04, 2026 5:44 pm
by gil
Great summary, dt.

Re: Recap of the past 10 months leading to missing the playoffs

Posted: Fri Sep 04, 2026 6:28 pm
by D-train
gil wrote:
Fri Sep 04, 2026 5:44 pm
Great summary, dt.
Thanks!

Re: Recap of the past 10 months leading to missing the playoffs

Posted: Fri Sep 04, 2026 7:05 pm
by Sibelius Hindemith
Kade Anderson's spin rate is down by about 200 rpm's due to the transition from MiLB to MLB baseballs.

Re: Recap of the past 10 months leading to missing the playoffs

Posted: Fri Sep 04, 2026 7:20 pm
by Michael K.
Hit it on the head with Naylor. Fan favorite. In other words? Ticket sales. That's why they resigned him. Mo' money Mo' money Mo' money. Fucking hate this ownership group and front office.

Re: Recap of the past 10 months leading to missing the playoffs

Posted: Fri Sep 04, 2026 7:49 pm
by Hy Feiber
D-train wrote:
Fri Sep 04, 2026 5:21 pm
Recap of the past 10 months leading to the M's missing the playoffs

I think this is a complete indictment of the Jerry regime resulting in missing the playoffs for the 9th time in 11 seasons despite the expanded playoffs and the worst AL West and AL as a whole in history this season....fewest playoff appearance in this time frame of any Baseball exec at as long as Jerry has been.

The 2025-26 Off season

Trade Jurrangelo, Tai Peete and Ben Williamson for Donovan.
Donovan: Has been good while healthy but is made of glass and only played 39 games putting up 1.0 fWAR
Jurrangelo: ERA of 5.38 and 1.44 WHIP in AA/AAA
Williamson: 0.4 fWAR in 84 games 81 wRC+
Tai Peete: At time of the trade Peete almost looked like a throw in given his struggles in the M's system but the Cardinals seem to know how to develop hitters. He has a .296 BA and a .922 OPS in A+/AA

This trade could turn very ugly if Donovan can't stay healthy in 2027 and Peete continues to rake potentially making his MLB debut in about a year
Current grade: C-

Signing Refsnyder to a $6.25M 1 year deal
This signing was completely unnecessary given that Canzone hit LH pitching just fine in 2025 as he is currently.
Horrific .465 OPS and -1.0 fWAR
Grade: F-

Trade Harry Ford for Jose Ferrer in the famed Ford vs. Ferrari trade
Ferrer has been pretty much what he always was with a low K rate and me ERA 7 Ks per 9 3.72 ERA and 0.1 fWAR
Ford had a slow start in the Nats minors but was promoted in mid summer and has put up 0.4 WAR and .697 OPS in just 26 games.
Another trade that could get UGLY in the coming years.
Current Grade: D+

Sign Josh Naylor to a 5 year $92.5M
Blinded by the hype of being a huge fan fave during his hot 2 months in Seattle the M's brass decided to make him the biggest position players signing of the Jerry era. Prior to becoming a Mariner he had put up only ~8 fWAR in his entire career..
In 2026 he was even more underwhelming than in previous season with only 1.0 fWAR and an anemic .685 OPS
Current Grade: C-

Trade Deadline
Trade Brock Moore, Alex Hoppe and Harrison Kreiling for Taylor Ward
Hailed as an on base "Machine" due to somehow leading the league in walks, pitchers finally clued in and started throwing him strikes.
The result? Ward has somehow been and even bigger bust than Refsnyder hitting .111 with a .349 OPS
Meanwhile Hoppe as been great with the O's 0.00 ERA 1.03 WHIP in 9.2 IPs while we could have used help in the pen.
Grade: F-

Trade Luis Castillo for Boston Smith, Seranthony and Nolan Jones
Partially a salary dump other than Boston Smith I still can't believe the White Sox agreed to this trade.
Luis has been even worse for them than he was for us. 7.52 ERA and 1.70 WHIP
Boston Smith has cooled off a bit but still with a great line of .261/1.023
Nolan Jones was just a throw in and has sucked for Tacoma
Seranthony has put up a 5.40 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP. He has been pitching better after a horrible start.
Current Grade: A-

Prospects recently making their debuts:
Colt Emerson was inexplicably given almost $100M before ever playing a MLB game. After a hot start he was close to a disaster with a .581 OPS with -0.1 fWAR including negative Defensive Metrics
Cole Young has been much better than last season but still a sub .700 OPS and a mid 1.8 fWAR
Laz had a great first game and not so good second game
Kade Anderson after one of the greatest seasons in minor league history has been a disappointment with 3 very mid starts.
I have been saying the farm has been overrated for several years and it appears to be the case.
Grade: C-

The Core:
The aforementioned Naylor, Cal and Julio have all come far from meeting expectations. Your best hitter, Randy is as good as gone to FA...
The rotation has been mid and or injured.
The pen has been injured or sub par with Brash, Speier and Vargas missing significant time and Munoz blowing far too many saves. Bazardo with a rough season as well.

Grade: D+

The team is 9 games under .500 with almost no chance at the playoffs. Time for a complete house cleaning from Jerry on down to the Clubhouse attendant. I honestly can't believe anyone would defend Jerry at this point but his groupies continue to be loud and proud. lol
Excellent analysis.

Why did they rush Anderson?

At least in AAA, he’d have experience facing guys who had already been in the majors!

And when they sign a young guy who’s never played in the majors to a humongous contract, that has to get into the minds of veterans, creating friction.

As for Naylor, I was always questioning why so many teams have gotten rid of him.

Re: Recap of the past 10 months leading to missing the playoffs

Posted: Fri Sep 04, 2026 8:09 pm
by DavidGee24
Hy Feiber wrote:
Fri Sep 04, 2026 7:49 pm
Why did they rush Anderson?
There are a good number of pitchers who make the jump from AA to the majors and do well. Paul Skenes pitched only 34 innings in the minors albeit mostly in AAA. There's precedence in the Mariner organization in Kyle Lewis who made the jump from AA and won Rookie Of The Year, although his career ended up getting Charboneau'd. Mark Langston made the jump from AA and would have won Rookie Of The Year if he hadn't come up in the same year that Alvin Davis did. Anderson was beyond dominant in AA and deserved the opportunity. He has four more starts and hopefully it'll come together.

Re: Recap of the past 10 months leading to missing the playoffs

Posted: Fri Sep 04, 2026 8:21 pm
by DavidGee24
D-train wrote:
Fri Sep 04, 2026 5:21 pm
I think this is a complete indictment of the Jerry regime resulting in missing the playoffs for the 9th time in 11 seasons despite the expanded playoffs and the worst AL West and AL as a whole in history this season....fewest playoff appearance in this time frame of any Baseball exec at as long as Jerry has been.
Some of these are repeated mistakes, he keeps going after right-handed hitters who are on the decline and have never hit well at T-Mobile. Again and again and again, he just DOESN'T learn.

This season has really stood out in that instead of having the Midas Touch where everything one touches turns to gold, DiBozo has had the Sadim Touch where everything he touches turns to shit. The only good thing he did was get rid of Castillo's salary and even that didn't improve the team. And the thing is, these weren't just bad in hindsight, they were bad in foresight. Of course there's been some bad luck, I mean who would have thought that Refsnyder and Ward would be THAT bad.

I think we should add bringing back Garver as well just because of how disheartening it was at the time and ended up being.

Re: Recap of the past 10 months leading to missing the playoffs

Posted: Fri Sep 04, 2026 8:27 pm
by D-train
Hy Feiber wrote:
Fri Sep 04, 2026 7:49 pm
D-train wrote:
Fri Sep 04, 2026 5:21 pm
Recap of the past 10 months leading to the M's missing the playoffs

I think this is a complete indictment of the Jerry regime resulting in missing the playoffs for the 9th time in 11 seasons despite the expanded playoffs and the worst AL West and AL as a whole in history this season....fewest playoff appearance in this time frame of any Baseball exec at as long as Jerry has been.

The 2025-26 Off season

Trade Jurrangelo, Tai Peete and Ben Williamson for Donovan.
Donovan: Has been good while healthy but is made of glass and only played 39 games putting up 1.0 fWAR
Jurrangelo: ERA of 5.38 and 1.44 WHIP in AA/AAA
Williamson: 0.4 fWAR in 84 games 81 wRC+
Tai Peete: At time of the trade Peete almost looked like a throw in given his struggles in the M's system but the Cardinals seem to know how to develop hitters. He has a .296 BA and a .922 OPS in A+/AA

This trade could turn very ugly if Donovan can't stay healthy in 2027 and Peete continues to rake potentially making his MLB debut in about a year
Current grade: C-

Signing Refsnyder to a $6.25M 1 year deal
This signing was completely unnecessary given that Canzone hit LH pitching just fine in 2025 as he is currently.
Horrific .465 OPS and -1.0 fWAR
Grade: F-

Trade Harry Ford for Jose Ferrer in the famed Ford vs. Ferrari trade
Ferrer has been pretty much what he always was with a low K rate and me ERA 7 Ks per 9 3.72 ERA and 0.1 fWAR
Ford had a slow start in the Nats minors but was promoted in mid summer and has put up 0.4 WAR and .697 OPS in just 26 games.
Another trade that could get UGLY in the coming years.
Current Grade: D+

Sign Josh Naylor to a 5 year $92.5M
Blinded by the hype of being a huge fan fave during his hot 2 months in Seattle the M's brass decided to make him the biggest position players signing of the Jerry era. Prior to becoming a Mariner he had put up only ~8 fWAR in his entire career..
In 2026 he was even more underwhelming than in previous season with only 1.0 fWAR and an anemic .685 OPS
Current Grade: C-

Trade Deadline
Trade Brock Moore, Alex Hoppe and Harrison Kreiling for Taylor Ward
Hailed as an on base "Machine" due to somehow leading the league in walks, pitchers finally clued in and started throwing him strikes.
The result? Ward has somehow been and even bigger bust than Refsnyder hitting .111 with a .349 OPS
Meanwhile Hoppe as been great with the O's 0.00 ERA 1.03 WHIP in 9.2 IPs while we could have used help in the pen.
Grade: F-

Trade Luis Castillo for Boston Smith, Seranthony and Nolan Jones
Partially a salary dump other than Boston Smith I still can't believe the White Sox agreed to this trade.
Luis has been even worse for them than he was for us. 7.52 ERA and 1.70 WHIP
Boston Smith has cooled off a bit but still with a great line of .261/1.023
Nolan Jones was just a throw in and has sucked for Tacoma
Seranthony has put up a 5.40 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP. He has been pitching better after a horrible start.
Current Grade: A-

Prospects recently making their debuts:
Colt Emerson was inexplicably given almost $100M before ever playing a MLB game. After a hot start he was close to a disaster with a .581 OPS with -0.1 fWAR including negative Defensive Metrics
Cole Young has been much better than last season but still a sub .700 OPS and a mid 1.8 fWAR
Laz had a great first game and not so good second game
Kade Anderson after one of the greatest seasons in minor league history has been a disappointment with 3 very mid starts.
I have been saying the farm has been overrated for several years and it appears to be the case.
Grade: C-

The Core:
The aforementioned Naylor, Cal and Julio have all come far from meeting expectations. Your best hitter, Randy is as good as gone to FA...
The rotation has been mid and or injured.
The pen has been injured or sub par with Brash, Speier and Vargas missing significant time and Munoz blowing far too many saves. Bazardo with a rough season as well.

Grade: D+

The team is 9 games under .500 with almost no chance at the playoffs. Time for a complete house cleaning from Jerry on down to the Clubhouse attendant. I honestly can't believe anyone would defend Jerry at this point but his groupies continue to be loud and proud. lol
Excellent analysis.

Why did they rush Anderson?

At least in AAA, he’d have experience facing guys who had already been in the majors!

And when they sign a young guy who’s never played in the majors to a humongous contract, that has to get into the minds of veterans, creating friction.

As for Naylor, I was always questioning why so many teams have gotten rid of him.
Thanks, they should have at least let Kade pitch a few starts in AAA to get used the balls they use in the Majors....

Re: Recap of the past 10 months leading to missing the playoffs

Posted: Fri Sep 04, 2026 9:03 pm
by gil
That seems like a good idea. Or maybe just practice sessions to see if there might be a change in what he throws. I can't believe that he had never picked up a major league ball until he arrived here.

Or with an analytics department of ... how many people do the Ms have? ... is there any ... I'm searching for a word ... "analysis" of which types of guys are more likely to be prone to reduced spin rate (or other effects) with the change in the ball from AA to the Majors?