Update on the WC situation Good news
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Re: Update on the WC situation Good news
Wow, two Mondays ago we expected heads to roll and Servais to be fired. I’m almost ready to think we have a chance, but still dizzy from the whiplash
- mostonmike
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Re: Update on the WC situation Good news
Hang in a sec. Last year the AL East finished
Tampa 100
Boston 92
New York 92
Toronto 91
Despite all that analysis, it’s quite possible for something similar to occur this year in a different order. New York are stronger for sure and were 9-11 vs Toronto whereas they are 8-4 this year. If New York take 5 of the 7 remaining that would bring Toronto down to 86 if they stay like-for-like on other records.
Right now the third WC in both leagues are at around .530 pace - that’s also 86 wins. In the last month of the season some teams have given up the ghost, so it’s likely the challenging teams will need a win or two more than that pace.
I think I got to the same answer as Captain97 in an hour less. It’s 86-88 at the minimum to have a chance.
Tampa 100
Boston 92
New York 92
Toronto 91
Despite all that analysis, it’s quite possible for something similar to occur this year in a different order. New York are stronger for sure and were 9-11 vs Toronto whereas they are 8-4 this year. If New York take 5 of the 7 remaining that would bring Toronto down to 86 if they stay like-for-like on other records.
Right now the third WC in both leagues are at around .530 pace - that’s also 86 wins. In the last month of the season some teams have given up the ghost, so it’s likely the challenging teams will need a win or two more than that pace.
I think I got to the same answer as Captain97 in an hour less. It’s 86-88 at the minimum to have a chance.
Last edited by mostonmike on Wed Jul 06, 2022 5:33 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Re: Update on the WC situation Good news
Looks like they have finally overcome your jinx of joining the Forum! lolMarinerMike wrote: ↑Wed Jul 06, 2022 5:29 pmWow, two Mondays ago we expected heads to roll and Servais to be fired. I’m almost ready to think we have a chance, but still dizzy from the whiplash
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Re: Update on the WC situation Good news
I was thinking about that yesterday but didn’t want to speak too soonD-train wrote: ↑Wed Jul 06, 2022 5:37 pmLooks like they have finally overcome your jinx of joining the Forum! lolMarinerMike wrote: ↑Wed Jul 06, 2022 5:29 pmWow, two Mondays ago we expected heads to roll and Servais to be fired. I’m almost ready to think we have a chance, but still dizzy from the whiplash
- mostonmike
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Re: Update on the WC situation Good news
I credit you for that Darren. Mike was 1-8 I think on arrival but has been 25-21 (.540 WC pace) since our night in Boston.MarinerMike wrote: ↑Wed Jul 06, 2022 5:39 pmI was thinking about that yesterday but didn’t want to speak too soonD-train wrote: ↑Wed Jul 06, 2022 5:37 pmLooks like they have finally overcome your jinx of joining the Forum! lolMarinerMike wrote: ↑Wed Jul 06, 2022 5:29 pmWow, two Mondays ago we expected heads to roll and Servais to be fired. I’m almost ready to think we have a chance, but still dizzy from the whiplash
- seattlefan-daBronx
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Re: Update on the WC situation Good news
HA! I still can't stand SS or Dipstick but the scrubs are winning despite the odds. That fight vs. LAA seems to have galvanized the team.MarinerMike wrote: ↑Wed Jul 06, 2022 5:29 pmWow, two Mondays ago we expected heads to roll and Servais to be fired. I’m almost ready to think we have a chance, but still dizzy from the whiplash
Pronouns: Kiss/My/Ass
Re: Update on the WC situation Good news
I think it was your magical surprise meet up on the Fenway tour!mostonmike wrote: ↑Wed Jul 06, 2022 5:55 pmI credit you for that Darren. Mike was 1-8 I think on arrival but has been 25-21 (.540 WC pace) since our night in Boston.MarinerMike wrote: ↑Wed Jul 06, 2022 5:39 pmI was thinking about that yesterday but didn’t want to speak too soon
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Re: Update on the WC situation Good news
From FanGraphs columnist Dan Szymborski, who Wednesday gave the Mariners a 40 percent chance of advancing to the postseason:
https://blogs.fangraphs.com/the-zips-mi ... an-league/The Mariners are demonstrating the cruelty of run differential. While it certainly feels like a significantly worse season — standings are tallied by actual wins, not a reasoned evaluation of a team’s strength — the team has made some progress and is arguably stronger than last year’s overachieving unit. Our confidence in the quality of Logan Gilbert should be stronger than at the start of the year, and Robbie Ray has turned things around quickly over the last six weeks or so. This team still has a realistic shot at the last wild card spot or two.
Re: Update on the WC situation Good news
**** the last weeks card spot. Let's sweep these foreigners, embarrass all the light blue pansies in the crowd, and win the first wild card spot.harmony wrote: ↑Fri Jul 08, 2022 5:09 amFrom FanGraphs columnist Dan Szymborski, who Wednesday gave the Mariners a 40 percent chance of advancing to the postseason:https://blogs.fangraphs.com/the-zips-mi ... an-league/The Mariners are demonstrating the cruelty of run differential. While it certainly feels like a significantly worse season — standings are tallied by actual wins, not a reasoned evaluation of a team’s strength — the team has made some progress and is arguably stronger than last year’s overachieving unit. Our confidence in the quality of Logan Gilbert should be stronger than at the start of the year, and Robbie Ray has turned things around quickly over the last six weeks or so. This team still has a realistic shot at the last wild card spot or two.
The poster formerly known as Kingfelixk. With a new forum comes a new boardname. Julio is my guy, plus we share a birthday, so that's Culiooooo
Adopt a Mariner-Julio Rodriguez
Adopt a Mariner-Julio Rodriguez
Re: Update on the WC situation Good news
Are there still people that haven't heard of Google? I saw people asking about WC tie breakers and nobody could come up with an answer.
https://www.mlb.com/news/mlb-playoff-tiebreaker-rules
https://www.mlb.com/news/mlb-playoff-tiebreaker-rules
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