Mariners 2023 Roster

[Pharmabro]

Did you see this?

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/articl ... video.html

But, she said....

Holy shit. It looks like another Smollett, Bubba Wallace, Russia Gate type. Sign him!

[ice99]

Great post bpj.

Bullpen:
Paul Sewald ($2.5M)
Diego Castillo ($3M)
Casey Sadler ($2M)
Andres Munoz ($1M)
Erik Swanson ($1.5M)
Matt Brash ($750K)
Matt Festa ($750K)

The pen will also have Murfee and possibly Borucki. Next year they will have a 13 pitcher limit. I try to trade D. Castillo and Festa/Sadler. Sign a lights out closer and a solid lefty. This puts the pen at 9 but someone usually ends on the DL. If they're all healthy I start Brash in AAA as a starter.

Then trade one of Marco or Flexen. I still like Marco throwing less pitches. His FA velocity is almost up to 90 mph.
Maybe that will attract some suitors.

Trammell, JK, DMo, Haggerty, KLew, Murphy are in the 'Fraley' camp and can be used as trade bait.

I'd trade RP Jr. The reason for trading him is that if another team wants to get him in the Rule 5, they'd have to put him on the ML roster. If they trade for him, they can leave him in the minors, although it would cost them a 40 man roster spot (which it would anyway in a Rule 5 selection).

[Vogelbomb]

JK had 123 PAs - 7 singles -2 Doubles -1 Triple - 4 HRs -9 BBs - 47 Ks. So he put 53 balls in play that became outs.

His GB% was 33.2% so he hit 18 ground balls that became out this season. With no shift how many of the 18 are hits?


BA after added hits due to no shift:

Added Hits New BA
1 0.133
2 0.142
3 0.150
4 0.159
5 0.168
6 0.177
7 0.186
8 0.195
9 0.204

So he would need an absurdly high 50% of his ground balls to get through due to no shift just to get over the Mendoza line. I think a more likely number is 2-3 maybe 4. Still would be hitting only .159.

Line drives are robbed by the shift nearly as much as ground balls are. A ball that lands in shallow lf robbed by the rover on 1 hop should not be evaluated as a "ground ball"

[Sexymarinersfan]

The sure things:

Offense:
C: Cal Raleigh ($750k)
1B: Ty France ($1.5M)
2B:
SS: JP Crawford ($11M)
3B: Eugenia Suarez ($11.3M)
LF:
CF: Julio Rodriguez ($15M)
RF:
DH:

Pitching:
SP1: Luis Castillo ($12M)
SP2: Robbie Ray ($21M)
SP3: Logan Gilbert ($1M)
SP4: George Kirby ($1M)
SP5:

Bullpen:
Paul Sewald ($2.5M)
Diego Castillo ($3M)
Casey Sadler ($2M)
Andres Munoz ($1M)
Erik Swanson ($1.5M)
Matt Brash ($750K)
Matt Festa ($750K)


Guaranteed contracts:
Evan White ($3M)
Robbie Cano ($3.75M)

The probables:
UTIL: Dylan Moore ($2.5M)
UTIL: Sam Haggerty ($1M)

TOTAL: $96,300,000

The guys under contract that are potential trades/DFA's/QO's, but maybe shouldn't be back next season:
Mitch Haniger ($18M)
Jesse Winker ($8.25M)
Chris Flexen ($8M)
Marco Gonzales ($6.75M)
Tom Murphy ($3M)

They could pay for a good free agent just by trading those last four guys off.

Personally, I'd put Castillo on the potential trade list. He's too up and down, and they could get value back. He's possibly the 5th best reliever at best next year with Brash passing him and Sadler back. Heck, I might trust Festa more next year. Trade him and sign a high leverage lefty.

Throw Casey Sadler on that list as well. Don't want politically-correct douchebags on this team.

[D-train]

JK had 123 PAs - 7 singles -2 Doubles -1 Triple - 4 HRs -9 BBs - 47 Ks. So he put 53 balls in play that became outs.

His GB% was 33.2% so he hit 18 ground balls that became out this season. With no shift how many of the 18 are hits?


BA after added hits due to no shift:

Added Hits New BA
1 0.133
2 0.142
3 0.150
4 0.159
5 0.168
6 0.177
7 0.186
8 0.195
9 0.204

So he would need an absurdly high 50% of his ground balls to get through due to no shift just to get over the Mendoza line. I think a more likely number is 2-3 maybe 4. Still would be hitting only .159.

Line drives are robbed by the shift nearly as much as ground balls are. A ball that lands in shallow lf robbed by the rover on 1 hop should not be evaluated as a "ground ball"

Sure. Fair point.

[ice99]

Maybe they should call up O'Keefe. Move Borucki to the 60 day IL. Send down someone, maybe Trammell.

Sorry, speaking for this season

[ice99]

Maybe trade for Bryan Reynolds. Get a first baseman. Move Winker to DH or trade him.

[desbcoach]

What do people think about taking a flyer on Andujar. Still better them many of our guys possibly from rookie season and last 0.253 average

[ice99]

What do people think about taking a flyer on Andujar. Still better them many of our guys possibly from rookie season and last 0.253 average

I'd like to get a lefty power hitter, someone who will hit 30ish home runs per 600 PAs. The only ones we have is Cal and Santana, and Santana seems to be an outlier.

[Sexymarinersfan]

LF and DH should be the priorities for upgrading the offense this offseason. Period!