Top 15 FA contract predictions

ice99
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Re: Top 15 FA contract predictions

Post by ice99 » Fri Oct 28, 2022 4:34 pm

bpj wrote:
Fri Oct 28, 2022 9:42 am
ice99 wrote:
Fri Oct 28, 2022 6:29 am
bpj wrote:
Thu Oct 27, 2022 10:06 pm


Agreed ice.

Trea Turner has a career OPS of .842
Brandon Nimmo has a career OPS of .826

Turner is projected to get $272M compared to $100M for Nimmo.

It doesnt really matter to me what position they add the OPS at, they just need to do it, but it does make much more sense to start at the vacancies that don't cost a premium.

Just going off the list, they could add Brandon Nimmo (.826), Bell (.810) and still add Rodon for less than the cost of just Turner.

The shortstops really make no sense imo.
It's a no-brainer, $100M vs. $272M.
Which makes me think Dipoto will go after the SS...
:)

There were 5 SS available.
Semien, $175M/7yr
Correa, $105M/3yr
Corey Seager, $325M/10
Story, $140M/6
Baez, $140M/6

Corey Seager is worth his contract so far.
Correa is a push, but losing a draft pick makes it a loss.
Semien is worth his contract so far, but the length of the contract makes it iffy.
Story and Baez have performed worse than their contracts.

So last year, only one contract looks like a good signing.
Semien looks like a fair signing.

I suspect JP will be in the 3 fWAR range. He had 2.8 bWAR for 2022.

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D-train
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Re: Top 15 FA contract predictions

Post by D-train » Fri Oct 28, 2022 4:36 pm

ice99 wrote:
Fri Oct 28, 2022 4:34 pm
bpj wrote:
Fri Oct 28, 2022 9:42 am
ice99 wrote:
Fri Oct 28, 2022 6:29 am


It's a no-brainer, $100M vs. $272M.
Which makes me think Dipoto will go after the SS...
:)

There were 5 SS available.
Semien, $175M/7yr
Correa, $105M/3yr
Corey Seager, $325M/10
Story, $140M/6
Baez, $140M/6

Corey Seager is worth his contract so far.
Correa is a push, but losing a draft pick makes it a loss.
Semien is worth his contract so far, but the length of the contract makes it iffy.
Story and Baez have performed worse than their contracts.

So last year, only one contract looks like a good signing.
Semien looks like a fair signing.

I suspect JP will be in the 3 fWAR range. He had 2.8 bWAR for 2022.
Maybe that brings down the price tags this time?
dt

ice99
Posts: 3148
Joined: Wed May 01, 2019 4:49 am

Re: Top 15 FA contract predictions

Post by ice99 » Fri Oct 28, 2022 5:52 pm

D-train wrote:
Fri Oct 28, 2022 4:36 pm
ice99 wrote:
Fri Oct 28, 2022 4:34 pm
bpj wrote:
Fri Oct 28, 2022 9:42 am


Which makes me think Dipoto will go after the SS...
:)

There were 5 SS available.
Semien, $175M/7yr
Correa, $105M/3yr
Corey Seager, $325M/10
Story, $140M/6
Baez, $140M/6

Corey Seager is worth his contract so far.
Correa is a push, but losing a draft pick makes it a loss.
Semien is worth his contract so far, but the length of the contract makes it iffy.
Story and Baez have performed worse than their contracts.

So last year, only one contract looks like a good signing.
Semien looks like a fair signing.

I suspect JP will be in the 3 fWAR range. He had 2.8 bWAR for 2022.
Maybe that brings down the price tags this time?
It'll probably go up, now that the QO has gone up.

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bpj
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Re: Top 15 FA contract predictions

Post by bpj » Fri Oct 28, 2022 6:19 pm

Chicken or egg?

Big_Maple
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Re: Top 15 FA contract predictions

Post by Big_Maple » Fri Oct 28, 2022 6:37 pm

bpj wrote:
Fri Oct 28, 2022 6:19 pm
Chicken or egg?
My favorite tshirt:
imageedit_15_4101156283.jpg
imageedit_15_4101156283.jpg (78.2 KiB) Viewed 326 times

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D-train
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Re: Top 15 FA contract predictions

Post by D-train » Fri Oct 28, 2022 7:15 pm

:D
Big_Maple wrote:
Fri Oct 28, 2022 6:37 pm
bpj wrote:
Fri Oct 28, 2022 6:19 pm
Chicken or egg?
My favorite tshirt:

imageedit_15_4101156283.jpg
dt

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D-train
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Re: Top 15 FA contract predictions

Post by D-train » Fri Oct 28, 2022 7:59 pm

Yankees not confident about resigning Judge.

https://nypost.com/2022/10/27/aaron-jud ... y-feeling/
dt

ice99
Posts: 3148
Joined: Wed May 01, 2019 4:49 am

Re: Top 15 FA contract predictions

Post by ice99 » Sat Oct 29, 2022 7:42 am

D-train wrote:
Fri Oct 28, 2022 4:36 pm
ice99 wrote:
Fri Oct 28, 2022 4:34 pm
bpj wrote:
Fri Oct 28, 2022 9:42 am


Which makes me think Dipoto will go after the SS...
:)

There were 5 SS available.
Semien, $175M/7yr
Correa, $105M/3yr
Corey Seager, $325M/10
Story, $140M/6
Baez, $140M/6

Corey Seager is worth his contract so far.
Correa is a push, but losing a draft pick makes it a loss.
Semien is worth his contract so far, but the length of the contract makes it iffy.
Story and Baez have performed worse than their contracts.

So last year, only one contract looks like a good signing.
Semien looks like a fair signing.

I suspect JP will be in the 3 fWAR range. He had 2.8 bWAR for 2022.
Maybe that brings down the price tags this time?
It's going up - inflation.

ice99
Posts: 3148
Joined: Wed May 01, 2019 4:49 am

Re: Top 15 FA contract predictions

Post by ice99 » Wed Nov 16, 2022 12:50 am

D-train wrote:
Wed Oct 26, 2022 3:54 pm
The ones I would do in red

https://bleacherreport.com/articles/100 ... 2-23-class

Clayton Kershaw

Best Guess Projection: 1 year, $20 million

14. 1B José Abreu, Chicago White Sox

Best Guess Projection: 2 years, $34 million


13. RHP Chris Bassitt, New York Mets
Best Guess Projection: 3 years, $60 million


12. 1B Josh Bell, San Diego Padres

Best Guess Projection: 4 years, $64 million


11. C Willson Contreras, Chicago Cubs

Best Guess Projection: 4 years, $80 million


10. RHP Justin Verlander, Houston Astros

Best Guess Projection: 2 years, $88 million


9. CF Brandon Nimmo, New York Mets

Best Guess Projection: 5 years, $100 million


8. RHP Edwin Díaz, New York Mets

Best Guess Projection: 5 years, $100 million

7. LHP Carlos Rodón, San Francisco Giants

Best Guess Projection: 5 years, $120 million

6. RHP Jacob deGrom, New York Mets

Best Guess Projection: 3 years, $135 million

5. SS Dansby Swanson, Atlanta

Best Guess Projection: 6 years, $140 million

4. SS Xander Bogaerts, Boston Red Sox

Best Guess Projection: 8 years, $240 million


3. SS Carlos Correa, Minnesota Twins

Best Guess Projection: 9 years, $270 million

2. SS Trea Turner, Los Angeles Dodgers

Best Guess Projection: 8 years, $272 million

1. RF Aaron Judge, New York Yankees

Best Guess Projection: 8 years, $300 million
The order must be total value. Tyler Anderson makes the top 15 so far.

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Sexymarinersfan
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Re: Top 15 FA contract predictions

Post by Sexymarinersfan » Wed Nov 16, 2022 1:09 am

ice99 wrote:
Wed Nov 16, 2022 12:50 am
D-train wrote:
Wed Oct 26, 2022 3:54 pm
The ones I would do in red

https://bleacherreport.com/articles/100 ... 2-23-class

Clayton Kershaw

Best Guess Projection: 1 year, $20 million

14. 1B José Abreu, Chicago White Sox

Best Guess Projection: 2 years, $34 million


13. RHP Chris Bassitt, New York Mets
Best Guess Projection: 3 years, $60 million


12. 1B Josh Bell, San Diego Padres

Best Guess Projection: 4 years, $64 million


11. C Willson Contreras, Chicago Cubs

Best Guess Projection: 4 years, $80 million


10. RHP Justin Verlander, Houston Astros

Best Guess Projection: 2 years, $88 million


9. CF Brandon Nimmo, New York Mets

Best Guess Projection: 5 years, $100 million


8. RHP Edwin Díaz, New York Mets

Best Guess Projection: 5 years, $100 million

7. LHP Carlos Rodón, San Francisco Giants

Best Guess Projection: 5 years, $120 million

6. RHP Jacob deGrom, New York Mets

Best Guess Projection: 3 years, $135 million

5. SS Dansby Swanson, Atlanta

Best Guess Projection: 6 years, $140 million

4. SS Xander Bogaerts, Boston Red Sox

Best Guess Projection: 8 years, $240 million


3. SS Carlos Correa, Minnesota Twins

Best Guess Projection: 9 years, $270 million

2. SS Trea Turner, Los Angeles Dodgers

Best Guess Projection: 8 years, $272 million

1. RF Aaron Judge, New York Yankees

Best Guess Projection: 8 years, $300 million
The order must be total value. Tyler Anderson makes the top 15 so far.
I had Tyler to the Angels!

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