Trade number 2
- Coeurd’Alene J
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Re: Trade number 2
Sounds like he will get his at bats as a Dh probably a fair chance he will do ok I wish him only the best. It wasn’t going to happen in Seattle we already have To many fringe OF players. Winker should be next on the chopping block and as others have mentioned JK will get a chance at spring training to be a part. Lewis was never getting that chance hereDonn Beach wrote: ↑Sat Nov 19, 2022 1:24 pmBut lewis would have to put up positive WAR, what's the chance of that?Coeurd’Alene J wrote: ↑Sat Nov 19, 2022 1:04 pmAt the mlb level not exactly straight forward. It’s obvious Hummel will not play on the squad unless Murphy isn’t healthyDonn Beach wrote: ↑Sat Nov 19, 2022 12:54 pmBe interesting to see who is more productive next season, Hummel or lewis, pretty straight forward
- Donn Beach
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Re: Trade number 2
Hummell played in the majors, he was ticketed to be the backup catcher I thought. So there is no way to judge the trade? It's not so much winning and losing but how successful was the trade for each team. How about this, what do you think the chances of Lewis putting up positive WAR next season?D-train wrote: ↑Sat Nov 19, 2022 1:37 pmIf two mlb players then yeah. Who put up more WAR, Luis Castillo or the kids we traded for him? Did the Reds lose the trade then?Donn Beach wrote: ↑Sat Nov 19, 2022 1:26 pmBut we got Hummel for him, generally trades are judged between the players dealt aren't they?
- Donn Beach
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Re: Trade number 2
I'm thinking that too. The dh thing has changed with 30 teams needing them. But again, what are the chances of Lewis actually putting up positive WAR as a dh?Coeurd’Alene J wrote: ↑Sat Nov 19, 2022 1:41 pmSounds like he will get his at bats as a Dh probably a fair chance he will do ok I wish him only the best. It wasn’t going to happen in Seattle we already have To many fringe OF players. Winker should be next on the chopping block and as others have mentioned JK will get a chance at spring training to be a part. Lewis was never getting that chance hereDonn Beach wrote: ↑Sat Nov 19, 2022 1:24 pmBut lewis would have to put up positive WAR, what's the chance of that?Coeurd’Alene J wrote: ↑Sat Nov 19, 2022 1:04 pm
At the mlb level not exactly straight forward. It’s obvious Hummel will not play on the squad unless Murphy isn’t healthy
Re: Trade number 2
He has a Decent chance to put up positive WAR but he put up negative WAR this season. I would say this:Donn Beach wrote: ↑Sat Nov 19, 2022 2:10 pmHummell played in the majors, he was ticketed to be the backup catcher I thought. So there is no way to judge the trade? It's not so much winning and losing but how successful was the trade for each team. How about this, what do you think the chances of Lewis putting up positive WAR next season?D-train wrote: ↑Sat Nov 19, 2022 1:37 pmIf two mlb players then yeah. Who put up more WAR, Luis Castillo or the kids we traded for him? Did the Reds lose the trade then?Donn Beach wrote: ↑Sat Nov 19, 2022 1:26 pm
But we got Hummel for him, generally trades are judged between the players dealt aren't they?
Positive WAR: 50%
1+ WAR: 20%
2+ WAR: 5%
3+ WAR: 1%
Also a very good chance Hummel puts up more WAR than Klew if Murphy resume his penchant for injuries....
dt
Re: Trade number 2
btw he hit .209 in the hitting paradise of the PCL in Sept. This is in line with my theory that his bad knee also impacts his hitting. If so he is toast.
dt
- Donn Beach
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Re: Trade number 2
Yeah you seem to be dancing around in terms of your theory. You think he is broken but on the other hand give him a chance at putting up positive WAR at what's the most difficult position to do it at isn't it? Seems to me it be remarkable for the dbacks to be able to literally roll lewis out at dh and get positive WAR out of him.
Re: Trade number 2
Edgar put up 46 WAR as a full time DH so it isn't impossible especially in the era where a .688 OPS for Winker was an above average OPS+.Donn Beach wrote: ↑Sat Nov 19, 2022 2:46 pmYeah you seem to be dancing around in terms of your theory. You think he is broken but on the other hand give him a chance at putting up positive WAR at what's the most difficult position to do it at isn't it? Seems to me it be remarkable for the dbacks to be able to literally roll lewis out at dh and get positive WAR out of him.
I have him a 5% chance to put up average WAR. Why would a team trying to chase down a team in a midst of a dynasty be interested in just getting positive WAR out of DH. Alvarez put up 6.8 WAR at DH for God's sake.
dt
- Donn Beach
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Re: Trade number 2
It's a function of the trade, they aren't trading for Edgar, they are trading a backup catcher for a guy they get positive WAR out of at dh seems to me
- Coeurd’Alene J
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Re: Trade number 2
Great point DT.D-train wrote: ↑Sat Nov 19, 2022 2:54 pmEdgar put up 46 WAR as a full time DH so it isn't impossible especially in the era where a .688 OPS for Winker was an above average OPS+.Donn Beach wrote: ↑Sat Nov 19, 2022 2:46 pmYeah you seem to be dancing around in terms of your theory. You think he is broken but on the other hand give him a chance at putting up positive WAR at what's the most difficult position to do it at isn't it? Seems to me it be remarkable for the dbacks to be able to literally roll lewis out at dh and get positive WAR out of him.
I have him a 5% chance to put up average WAR. Why would a team trying to chase down a team in a midst of a dynasty be interested in just getting positive WAR out of DH. Alvarez put up 6.8 WAR at DH for God's sake.