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war/advanced stats
Posted: Sun Oct 15, 2023 7:42 pm
by Phishphan91
on this podcast
https://youtu.be/3mH3PJNZYlA?si=QaH4zzSS3-yftthA
lyle goldstein stuck up for dipotos step foward comment by saying, based on war the mariners were a 94 win team. considering they won 88 games, what is the point of war? isn't it just the, if my aunt had balls she'd be my uncle?
Re: war/advanced stats
Posted: Sun Oct 15, 2023 7:57 pm
by bpj
Phishphan91 wrote: ↑Sun Oct 15, 2023 7:42 pm
on this podcast
https://youtu.be/3mH3PJNZYlA?si=QaH4zzSS3-yftthA
lyle goldstein stuck up for dipotos step foward comment by saying, based on war the mariners were a 94 win team. considering they won 88 games, what is the point of war?
isn't it just the, if my aunt had balls she'd be my uncle?
I can't think of a better description than that

Re: war/advanced stats
Posted: Mon Oct 16, 2023 12:38 pm
by Phishphan91
haha yea i mean per war the mariners were a 94 win team, and if my dad was jeff bezos I'd be a billionaire too!
Re: war/advanced stats
Posted: Mon Oct 16, 2023 10:08 pm
by Captain 97
The WAR simply backs up what the other stats say. They improved over 2022 in every single offensive category except for strikeouts. Their run differential increased from a +67 last year to +99 this year. That differential should translate to about 92 wins. Personally I think a big part of that is the breakdown in the bullpen after they traded off Sewald. Not winning as many of those tight games leads to under performing your Pythagorean record. In the end the only thing that matters is wins but the other stats (including WAR) can tell us where the holes are and what needs to be addressed to hopefully get that win total up next year.
Re: war/advanced stats
Posted: Mon Oct 16, 2023 10:29 pm
by Seattle or Bust
I still say WAR doesn't account for the nuance that often decides games.
Re: war/advanced stats
Posted: Mon Oct 16, 2023 11:33 pm
by Sibelius Hindemith
The Mariners' negative CLUTCH FACTOR rating explains why they won fewer games than stats like WAR would seem to indicate that they should have won.
Re: war/advanced stats
Posted: Tue Oct 17, 2023 3:12 am
by Phishphan91
if clutch factor can override war, shouldn't clutch factor be more valuable then?
Re: war/advanced stats
Posted: Tue Oct 17, 2023 3:21 am
by Sibelius Hindemith
Well, since the stat-makers view it as mainly an artifact of luck, they don't want to incorporate it into WAR or use it in a predictive capacity.
Re: war/advanced stats
Posted: Tue Oct 17, 2023 4:57 am
by Donn Beach
Clutch is inherently SSS.
Re: war/advanced stats
Posted: Tue Oct 17, 2023 9:22 am
by D-train
Seattle or Bust wrote: ↑Mon Oct 16, 2023 10:29 pm
I still say WAR doesn't account for the nuance that often decides games.
WAR definitely doesn't account for the intangibles such as motivation, positive mental attitude and working as a team on a common goal that has been instilled in and currently permeates Husky football resulting in an amazing winning culture. It shouldn't surprise anyone it does NOT exist with the Mariners given the half ass off seasons and trade deadline surrenders of 2021 and 2023 and this discontent was expressed loudly and clearly by the precious Core of Cal, JP and Gilbert on the final two days of the season.
Until Jerry finally gets this or is replaced this team will continue to flounder in mediocrity below expectations.....