Thread for draft simulations:

57reasons
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Re: Thread for draft simulations:

Post by 57reasons » Sat Apr 12, 2025 2:52 am

Seattle or Bust wrote:
Sat Apr 12, 2025 12:45 am
Image

Will be interesting to see where Bond lands. SA allegation, rumors that teams view him as a late 2nd, early 3rd pick.

He sure would compliment Kupp and JSN well.
Oh, i was wondering why he had suddenly fallen about 100 spots in the overall player ranking - guess that would do it.

57reasons
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Re: Thread for draft simulations:

Post by 57reasons » Sat Apr 12, 2025 2:56 am

Michael K. wrote:
Fri Apr 11, 2025 6:11 pm
Sibelius Hindemith wrote:
Thu Apr 10, 2025 11:07 pm
One fault with this draft simulator is that it makes it seem like trading back and gaining lots of draft value is normal. I don't think teams are making those types of offers that much in reality and instead of gaining hundreds of points in trade value (from the draft trade value chart) it is much more likely it will only come out slightly to the advantage of the team trading back. That said, i would strongly support the notion of JS moving off of 18 at least back into the late 20s because the experts seem to agree that there are only about 10-15 elite prospects in this draft and there isn't much of a drop-off (or disparity) in talent between 16 and 50.
I agree. It's been awhile since I had time to do a simulation, but there have been a few times I've been very pleased, and other times that I'd trade back and the guy I wanted would go right before me, so I'd trade back and it would happen again! Haha
i tried an experiment where i rejected a proposed trade, then made the exact same trade proposal myself, and guess what - it got rejected!
I had suspected that the algorithm builds in a gain expectation for the team receiving the offer - that's the only explanation i can fathom for such an outcome my test generated.

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Donn Beach
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Re: Thread for draft simulations:

Post by Donn Beach » Tue Apr 15, 2025 2:22 am

SB nation mocks Loveland to the hawks

https://www.sbnation.com/2025/4/11/2440 ... C42MC4wLjA.

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Sibelius Hindemith
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Re: Thread for draft simulations:

Post by Sibelius Hindemith » Tue Apr 15, 2025 2:54 am

Ah thynk ah'm goyna haff ta sigh no ta thayat...

PFN_Draft_result_1744668357307.png

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Donn Beach
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Re: Thread for draft simulations:

Post by Donn Beach » Tue Apr 15, 2025 6:14 am

Bears take Will Campbell at 10, Seahawks trade a 3d for Jones. He's a tackle and he's recovering from injury
That's precisely what the Seahawks did in a new seven-round mock draft from Pro Football Network. A projected trade with the Chicago Bears sends offensive lineman Braxton Jones to Seattle in exchange for pick No. 82 overall.

It's an interesting trade projection because Jones has been a productive starter and is just 26 years old. The former fifth-round pick has exclusively played at left tackle in Chicago, so the team would have to move him or Charles Cross.

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Donn Beach
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Re: Thread for draft simulations:

Post by Donn Beach » Tue Apr 15, 2025 7:13 am

Kinda interesting looking at the SF Seattle rivalry. I hadn't realized how much the Seahawks have dominated, recently bias .

. The Seahawks lead the all-time series 31–23. After drafting Russell Wilson in 2012, the Seahawks dominated the rivalry, holding a 17–4 record against the 49ers before Wilson's departure in early 2022. After Wilson's departure, the 49ers turned the rivalry around, winning six in a row, which is the longest win streak for the 49ers against the Seahawks, before the Seahawks ended the streak with a 20–17 victory on 17 November 2024

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Sibelius Hindemith
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Re: Thread for draft simulations:

Post by Sibelius Hindemith » Tue Apr 15, 2025 4:32 pm

After Harbaugh left and Kaepernick decided to become a far left activist they had some lean years.

Michael K.
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Re: Thread for draft simulations:

Post by Michael K. » Tue Apr 15, 2025 5:18 pm

Sibelius Hindemith wrote:
Tue Apr 15, 2025 4:32 pm
After Harbaugh left and Kaepernick decided to become a far left activist they had some lean years.
Six in a row, and then escaping this year even thought they were extremely banged up seems to stick in my mind a shit ton more than what we did to an emaciated Kaepernick.

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Re: Thread for draft simulations:

Post by Captain 97 » Tue Apr 15, 2025 8:07 pm

57reasons wrote:
Sat Apr 12, 2025 2:56 am
Michael K. wrote:
Fri Apr 11, 2025 6:11 pm
Sibelius Hindemith wrote:
Thu Apr 10, 2025 11:07 pm
One fault with this draft simulator is that it makes it seem like trading back and gaining lots of draft value is normal. I don't think teams are making those types of offers that much in reality and instead of gaining hundreds of points in trade value (from the draft trade value chart) it is much more likely it will only come out slightly to the advantage of the team trading back. That said, i would strongly support the notion of JS moving off of 18 at least back into the late 20s because the experts seem to agree that there are only about 10-15 elite prospects in this draft and there isn't much of a drop-off (or disparity) in talent between 16 and 50.
I agree. It's been awhile since I had time to do a simulation, but there have been a few times I've been very pleased, and other times that I'd trade back and the guy I wanted would go right before me, so I'd trade back and it would happen again! Haha
i tried an experiment where i rejected a proposed trade, then made the exact same trade proposal myself, and guess what - it got rejected!
I had suspected that the algorithm builds in a gain expectation for the team receiving the offer - that's the only explanation i can fathom for such an outcome my test generated.
Sometimes when I was interested and trading a pick and didn't get an offer, I would try trading back a spot with nothing else involved and the team would reject it. In other words I would offer the 18th pick for the 19th pick straight up and the team would say no.

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Donn Beach
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Re: Thread for draft simulations:

Post by Donn Beach » Wed Apr 16, 2025 1:05 am


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