Pick'em league

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D-train
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Re: Pick'em league

Post by D-train » Mon Dec 20, 2021 12:16 pm

Sibelius Hindemith wrote:
Mon Dec 20, 2021 11:49 am
First shutout of Brady since '06 and it was because i put 15 points on the Bucs. :(
Very bad development for the Hawks as well. Looks like 49ers will make the playoffs so we have to finish at least one game better than the Saints.

Our playoff chances are now down to 2%

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/20 ... edictions/

Even if we win out they are only 26%. About half of what they were if the Saints had lost.
dt

Michael K.
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Re: Pick'em league

Post by Michael K. » Mon Dec 20, 2021 2:03 pm

Sibelius Hindemith wrote:
Mon Dec 20, 2021 12:13 pm
D-train wrote:
Mon Dec 20, 2021 11:40 am
Ok this has to be the weirdest stat of the year.

Saints vs. Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers. 3-0 Outscored them 83-30

Saints vs. rest of the league: 4-7 230-255

:shock: :shock: :shock: :shock: :shock: :shock:
That's ridiculous. There has to be an explanation, but it's beyond me.
I still say Rodgers was pouting week 1, gave the organization the middle finger. No way the Bucs score zero if all three of those guys don’t get hurt in the first half. But still, it is amazing how good that Saints D can look.

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Sibelius Hindemith
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Re: Pick'em league

Post by Sibelius Hindemith » Mon Dec 20, 2021 11:20 pm

Great, didn't realize Butcher Mayfield was going to be out today. :roll:

57reasons
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Re: Pick'em league

Post by 57reasons » Tue Dec 21, 2021 12:42 am

Sibelius Hindemith wrote:
Mon Dec 20, 2021 11:20 pm
Great, didn't realize Butcher Mayfield was going to be out today. :roll:
was disappointed to see the Raiders winning = i had intended to switch my pick to them based on the QB outages, but just didnt get to it. then i looked it up and saw both SH and MK are also backing the Browns, but for more points than i had on them, so i've changed now to hoping i lose this one.

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Sibelius Hindemith
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Re: Pick'em league

Post by Sibelius Hindemith » Tue Dec 21, 2021 1:04 am

Yeah, that's why i was rooting for the Broncos yesterday. Everyone picked the Bengals but i had the fewest points on them.

SeattleAddict
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Re: Pick'em league

Post by SeattleAddict » Tue Dec 21, 2021 2:43 am

D-train wrote:
Mon Dec 20, 2021 1:00 am
Finally having a good week. 9-2. Only game I really missed was picking the Jags at home. Only an idiot picks the Lions.
you're such a jinx, besides the Seahawks losing whenever you watch, nobody has gotten a pick right since you posted this brag.

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D-train
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Re: Pick'em league

Post by D-train » Tue Dec 21, 2021 1:28 pm

Good Morning!
dt

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Sibelius Hindemith
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Re: Pick'em league

Post by Sibelius Hindemith » Tue Dec 21, 2021 3:34 pm

Where is that? Edgar looks like he just rolled out of bed.

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D-train
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Re: Pick'em league

Post by D-train » Tue Dec 21, 2021 3:36 pm

Sibelius Hindemith wrote:
Tue Dec 21, 2021 3:34 pm
Where is that? Edgar looks like he just rolled out of bed.
The new Sports book at EQC. Dude, you have three less wins than me but are kicking ass with total points. Interesting strategy paying off for you! Nicely done.
dt

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Sibelius Hindemith
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Re: Pick'em league

Post by Sibelius Hindemith » Tue Dec 21, 2021 3:51 pm

I've been conservative on my high-confidence picks (following the spreads) and liberal with the lower ones (i.e. picking upsets in games with smaller spreads). I don't know if that's an optimal strategy though for a low information player like me. I've missed on the vast majority of my upset picks.

If Lockett and Reed are out for today's game i'm going to have to flip my pick on that game and switch confidence points with the Wsh-Phi game. I currently have 9 pts on Philly and 5 on Sea.

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