Mariners @ Mets GT 8/15

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Donn Beach
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Re: Mariners @ Mets GT 8/15

Post by Donn Beach » Sat Aug 16, 2025 4:21 am

Mets site posted a link to this from 2016 on how the Mariners are the unluckiest team in MLB for making the playoffs. I would say things haven't changed much
Most teams are within a playoff appearance or so of their actual numbers, but the outliers on either end are striking. The most unlucky franchise in baseball is the Mariners, who should have earned 4.2 playoff appearances since 1998 but instead have managed only two (and none since 2001). None of the reasonably strong Seattle teams scattered over the past 15 years have yielded a postseason appearance, with the two 93-win squads (in 2002 and 2003) standing out as the largest outliers — both should have been good enough to make the playoffs about 87 percent of the time under normal circumstances. Although Seattle’s home division, the American League West, has also averaged the most wins per team-season4 of any division since 1998, the West’s winners haven’t been especially strong (they’ve averaged only the third most wins of any division’s winners), which suggests the Mariners can blame only part of their misfortune on their closest competition. Likewise, my model didn’t find the yearly strength of the American League as a whole to be a significant factor in depressing Seattle’s playoff probability either.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/th ... son-break/

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bpj
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Re: Mariners @ Mets GT 8/15

Post by bpj » Sat Aug 16, 2025 5:43 am

Hasn't felt like bad luck.

They keep stuffing guys like Dee Gordon into the lineup for most the season then miss the playoffs by two games.

Or they have a competitive team, but trade their closer.

Or they have a team that looks competitive but is obviously a couple bats away, but the team scrounges through the recycle bin.

Nah, they've given it away several times in the last few years because they didnt believe in the team theyd put together. They sandbagged them.

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AZOldDawg
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Location: Surprise, Arizona

Re: Mariners @ Mets GT 8/15

Post by AZOldDawg » Sat Aug 16, 2025 2:29 pm

I would really like to see Rivas come up so Crawford can take a day off. He looks tired and I don't want Dildoe anywhere near the plate

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