Win Prediction contest

[D-train]

I am pulling this down here since we are about down to it. I will update this after every game. The record is what is required the final 16 games to win. JP is down to a .705 OPS. I don't need to worry about it. Nor do several others that are the only ones to pic a certain win total.

DavidGee24 ................ 97 .......... .715 Eliminated
Vogelbomb ..................96 .......... .698 Eliminated
bpj ............................... 95 .......... .700 Eliminated
mostonmike ................94........... .699 16-0
Pharmabro .................. 93........... .740 15-1
Lonnie in Colorado ..... 93 ........... ? 15-1
Double Mocha Man .... 92 .......... .721 14-2
desbcoach: ................. 92 .......... .686 14-2
rockycola: .................... 91 .......... .681 13-3
techmc ........................ 91 .......... .713 13-3
seattlefan-daBronx ..... 91 .......... .702 13-3
GL_Storm .................... 90 .......... .700 12-4
Mesully11 ................... 90 .......... .673 12-4
ddraig .......................... 90 .......... .704 12-4
Millikin ......................... 89 .......... .730 11-5
Juliooooo .................... 89 .......... .745 ~ JP 11-5
Sibelius Hindemith ..... 88 .......... .698 10-6
D_train ......................... 87 .......... .711 9-7
Captain 97 .................. 86 .......... .688 8-8
Michael K. ................... 86 .......... .685 8-8
TLO Idaho ................... 85 .......... .700 7-9
Coeurd'Alene J . ......... 84 .......... .700 6-10
Xpert DBA ................... 82 .......... .721 4-12
Bil522 .......................... 81 .......... .681 3-13
Walla Walla Dawg ...... 78 .......... .684 0-16

[rockycola]

I am pulling this down here since we are about down to it. I will update this after every game. The record is what is required the final 16 games to win. JP is down to a .705 OPS. I don't need to worry about it. Nor do several others that are the only ones to pic a certain win total.

DavidGee24 ................ 97 .......... .715 Eliminated
Vogelbomb ..................96 .......... .698 Eliminated
bpj ............................... 95 .......... .700 Eliminated
mostonmike ................94........... .699 16-0
Pharmabro .................. 93........... .740 15-1
Lonnie in Colorado ..... 93 ........... ? 15-1
Double Mocha Man .... 92 .......... .721 14-2
desbcoach: ................. 92 .......... .686 14-2
rockycola: .................... 91 .......... .681 13-3
techmc ........................ 91 .......... .713 13-3
seattlefan-daBronx ..... 91 .......... .702 13-3
GL_Storm .................... 90 .......... .700 12-4
Mesully11 ................... 90 .......... .673 12-4
ddraig .......................... 90 .......... .704 12-4
Millikin ......................... 89 .......... .730 11-5
Juliooooo .................... 89 .......... .745 ~ JP 11-5
Sibelius Hindemith ..... 88 .......... .698 10-6
D_train ......................... 87 .......... .711 9-7
Captain 97 .................. 86 .......... .688 8-8
Michael K. ................... 86 .......... .685 8-8
TLO Idaho ................... 85 .......... .700 7-9
Coeurd'Alene J . ......... 84 .......... .700 6-10
Xpert DBA ................... 82 .......... .721 4-12
Bil522 .......................... 81 .......... .681 3-13
Walla Walla Dawg ...... 78 .......... .684 0-16

Yeah, JP would almost have to go 0-for the rest of the season to drop to .681 and, I'd rather he got hot.
Getting to 91 wins is feasible if my GT win streak were to continue , BUT, seattlefan-daBronx and techmc, who both also picked 91
(both buttholes because I picked 91 first so that's MY number signed, Karen) wins stand to be closer to JP's OPS than me.

GO MARINERS!!!!!!

[Captain 97]

M's at .534 right now on pace for 86.5 Wins

[D-train]

DavidGee24 ................ 97 .......... .715 Eliminated
Vogelbomb ..................96 .......... .698 Eliminated
bpj ............................... 95 .......... .700 Eliminated
mostonmike ................94........... .699 15-0
Pharmabro .................. 93........... .740 14-1
Lonnie in Colorado ..... 93 ........... ? 14-1
Double Mocha Man .... 92 .......... .721 13-2
desbcoach: ................. 92 .......... .686 13-2
rockycola: .................... 91 .......... .681 12-3
techmc ........................ 91 .......... .713 12-3
seattlefan-daBronx ..... 91 .......... .702 12-3
GL_Storm .................... 90 .......... .700 11-4
Mesully11 ................... 90 .......... .673 11-4
ddraig .......................... 90 .......... .704 11-4
Millikin ......................... 89 .......... .730 10-5
Juliooooo .................... 89 .......... .745 ~ JP 10-5
Sibelius Hindemith ..... 88 .......... .698 9-6
D_train ......................... 87 .......... .711 8-7
Captain 97 .................. 86 .......... .688 7-8
Michael K. ................... 86 .......... .685 7-8
TLO Idaho ................... 85 .......... .700 6-9
Coeurd'Alene J . ......... 84 .......... .700 5-10
Xpert DBA ................... 82 .......... .721 3-12
Bil522 .......................... 81 .......... .681 2-13
Walla Walla Dawg ...... 78 .......... .684 Eliminated

[D-train]

57.5% chance to win the WS and 92% chance to make the playoffs and 9% chance to win the WS.

https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds

Current winning % .537 which rounds to you know what.

[Donn Beach]

57.5% chance to win the WS and 92% chance to make the playoffs and 9% chance to win the WS.

https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds

Current winning % .537 which rounds to you know what.

which demonstrates that 54% is in fact a significant number when it comes to baseball. Once again, if the mariners under jerry dipoto were to maintain a 54% winning percentage for an entire decade it would place them with some of the more successful teams in MLB, lets see them do it

[Captain 97]

Teams that win 54% for an entire decade don't win 54% every single year. Some years they're lower and some years they pop and are higher. Its those pop years when you have the best chance of winning it all. 54% should not be your goal at the beginning of the year. Since the year 2000 World Series champions have averaged 94.7 wins for a .585 winning percentage. The only team to win a world series below .540 was the Cardinals in 2006.

[D-train]

57.5% chance to win the WS and 92% chance to make the playoffs and 9% chance to win the WS.

https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds

Current winning % .537 which rounds to you know what.

which demonstrates that 54% is in fact a significant number when it comes to baseball. Once again, if the mariners under jerry dipoto were to maintain a 54% winning percentage for an entire decade it would place them with some of the more successful teams in MLB, lets see them do it

They already did it from 1994-2003 and never made the WS. It is idiotic on every level imaginable. Ironically I was the only one that predicted they would do it this season. 87 wins would only get them in this year because this has been a horrible year for AL teams.

[D-train]

Teams that win 54% for an entire decade don't win 54% every single year. Some years there lower and some years they pop and are higher. Its those pop years when you have the best chance of winning it all. 54% should not be your goal at the beginning of the year. Since the year 2000 World Series champions have averaged 94.7 wins for a .585 winning percentage. The only team to win a world series below .540 was the Cardinals in 2006.

[tehmc]

I am pulling this down here since we are about down to it. I will update this after every game. The record is what is required the final 16 games to win. JP is down to a .705 OPS. I don't need to worry about it. Nor do several others that are the only ones to pic a certain win total.

DavidGee24 ................ 97 .......... .715 Eliminated
Vogelbomb ..................96 .......... .698 Eliminated
bpj ............................... 95 .......... .700 Eliminated
mostonmike ................94........... .699 16-0
Pharmabro .................. 93........... .740 15-1
Lonnie in Colorado ..... 93 ........... ? 15-1
Double Mocha Man .... 92 .......... .721 14-2
desbcoach: ................. 92 .......... .686 14-2
rockycola: .................... 91 .......... .681 13-3
techmc ........................ 91 .......... .713 13-3
seattlefan-daBronx ..... 91 .......... .702 13-3
GL_Storm .................... 90 .......... .700 12-4
Mesully11 ................... 90 .......... .673 12-4
ddraig .......................... 90 .......... .704 12-4
Millikin ......................... 89 .......... .730 11-5
Juliooooo .................... 89 .......... .745 ~ JP 11-5
Sibelius Hindemith ..... 88 .......... .698 10-6
D_train ......................... 87 .......... .711 9-7
Captain 97 .................. 86 .......... .688 8-8
Michael K. ................... 86 .......... .685 8-8
TLO Idaho ................... 85 .......... .700 7-9
Coeurd'Alene J . ......... 84 .......... .700 6-10
Xpert DBA ................... 82 .......... .721 4-12
Bil522 .......................... 81 .......... .681 3-13
Walla Walla Dawg ...... 78 .......... .684 0-16

Yeah, JP would almost have to go 0-for the rest of the season to drop to .681 and, I'd rather he got hot.
Getting to 91 wins is feasible if my GT win streak were to continue , BUT, seattlefan-daBronx and techmc, who both also picked 91
(both buttholes because I picked 91 first so that's MY number signed, Karen) wins stand to be closer to JP's OPS than me.

GO MARINERS!!!!!!

I would be ecstatic if I lose the tie breaker because that means they went 12-3 to finish it out