The official Hot Stove League Thread 2025-26 Offseason

Seattle or Bust
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Re: The official Hot Stove League Thread 2025-26 Offseason

Post by Seattle or Bust » Tue Nov 25, 2025 5:49 pm

The Sonny Gray trade mirrors what a Castillo trade could look like.

The Cardinals got the no. 5 prospect in the '25 class and no. 12 prospect in the '24 class of the Red Sox farm in exchange for Gray and $20M.

Now... Gray is owed $35M in '26 and has a considerable buyout in '27.

Castillo is younger and way better than Gray at this juncture. Which is why I don't think his money is prohibitive.

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desbcoach
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Re: The official Hot Stove League Thread 2025-26 Offseason

Post by desbcoach » Tue Nov 25, 2025 7:40 pm

Seattle or Bust wrote:
Tue Nov 25, 2025 5:49 pm
The Sonny Gray trade mirrors what a Castillo trade could look like.

The Cardinals got the no. 5 prospect in the '25 class and no. 12 prospect in the '24 class of the Red Sox farm in exchange for Gray and $20M.

Now... Gray is owed $35M in '26 and has a considerable buyout in '27.

Castillo is younger and way better than Gray at this juncture. Which is why I don't think his money is prohibitive.
Cardinals included 20 mil and contract was reworked to 31mil next near with a 10 mil.buyout so basically 41 mil for a year of his services

Seattle or Bust
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Re: The official Hot Stove League Thread 2025-26 Offseason

Post by Seattle or Bust » Wed Nov 26, 2025 12:06 am

desbcoach wrote:
Tue Nov 25, 2025 7:40 pm
Seattle or Bust wrote:
Tue Nov 25, 2025 5:49 pm
The Sonny Gray trade mirrors what a Castillo trade could look like.

The Cardinals got the no. 5 prospect in the '25 class and no. 12 prospect in the '24 class of the Red Sox farm in exchange for Gray and $20M.

Now... Gray is owed $35M in '26 and has a considerable buyout in '27.

Castillo is younger and way better than Gray at this juncture. Which is why I don't think his money is prohibitive.
Cardinals included 20 mil and contract was reworked to 31mil next near with a 10 mil.buyout so basically 41 mil for a year of his services
Yeah that's a shit ton for one year of a guy who is 36 and put up a 4.28 ERA with 1.4 bWAR.

If you took on ALL of Castillo's contract you get a better pitcher for $48.3M over 2 years.

People being concerned about his option is also silly AF. It only vest after 180 innings pitched in '27. He hit 175 and 180.2 innings the last 2 years. A smart team would just keep him sub 180 in '27.

HawkandMariner88
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Re: The official Hot Stove League Thread 2025-26 Offseason

Post by HawkandMariner88 » Wed Nov 26, 2025 12:12 am

D-train wrote:
Tue Nov 25, 2025 4:46 pm
Hearing the Marlins are under pressure again to add salary. Even more so this off season than last. desbcoach believes Randy might be traded and Brady Vargas posted this:
Could we deal him to Milwaukee instead for either of Megill or Uribe instead please. Who does Miami have that we can take back. The only way I'd do a trade with Miami is if it's for someone like a Henriquez.

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Donn Beach
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Re: The official Hot Stove League Thread 2025-26 Offseason

Post by Donn Beach » Wed Nov 26, 2025 2:28 am

Seattle or Bust wrote:
Tue Nov 25, 2025 5:49 pm
The Sonny Gray trade mirrors what a Castillo trade could look like.

The Cardinals got the no. 5 prospect in the '25 class and no. 12 prospect in the '24 class of the Red Sox farm in exchange for Gray and $20M.

Now... Gray is owed $35M in '26 and has a considerable buyout in '27.

Castillo is younger and way better than Gray at this juncture. Which is why I don't think his money is prohibitive.
Chaim Bloom starting to wheel and deal

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GL_Storm
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Re: The official Hot Stove League Thread 2025-26 Offseason

Post by GL_Storm » Wed Nov 26, 2025 5:57 pm

Pretty good analysis of the free agent relievers on the market: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pGR9FYda8w8

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D-train
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Re: The official Hot Stove League Thread 2025-26 Offseason

Post by D-train » Wed Nov 26, 2025 10:45 pm

HawkandMariner88 wrote:
Wed Nov 26, 2025 12:12 am
D-train wrote:
Tue Nov 25, 2025 4:46 pm
Hearing the Marlins are under pressure again to add salary. Even more so this off season than last. desbcoach believes Randy might be traded and Brady Vargas posted this:
Could we deal him to Milwaukee instead for either of Megill or Uribe instead please. Who does Miami have that we can take back. The only way I'd do a trade with Miami is if it's for someone like a Henriquez.
Nope, Milwaukee isn't taking on his salary.
dt

Big_Maple
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Re: The official Hot Stove League Thread 2025-26 Offseason

Post by Big_Maple » Wed Nov 26, 2025 11:33 pm

The Jays add Dylan Cease to a 7 year deal:

https://www.mlb.com/news/dylan-cease-blue-jays-deal

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Sibelius Hindemith
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Re: The official Hot Stove League Thread 2025-26 Offseason

Post by Sibelius Hindemith » Wed Nov 26, 2025 11:42 pm

Looks like the Jays want to get back there. Meanwhile, back in Loserville the sound of crickets is all we're picking up.

Captain 97
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Re: The official Hot Stove League Thread 2025-26 Offseason

Post by Captain 97 » Wed Nov 26, 2025 11:52 pm

30 million a year for a guy coming off a season with a 94 ERA+ That is the epitome of a stupid deal.
The dude had one elite year 4 years ago. Since then he has averaged 2.4 WAR per season with a 4.18 ERA and a 102 ERA+

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