Postmortem: NFCCG / Real SB: Sea v Lambs

Michael K.
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Re: Postmortem: NFCCG / Real SB: Sea v Lambs

Post by Michael K. » Mon Jan 26, 2026 9:51 pm

douche wrote:
Mon Jan 26, 2026 9:49 pm
Sibelius Hindemith wrote:
Mon Jan 26, 2026 8:28 pm
douche wrote:
Mon Jan 26, 2026 6:24 pm
Yes, their SOS was weak (0.429). 30th in the league.


schedule.jpg
Why use 2024 records? This was the 2025 season. :?
The article is dated August 6, 2025 for this season. Strength of schedule is determined by the previous season's (2024) opponent's record and outlines how many previous (2024) opponents were playoff teams.

https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/459 ... m-rankings
So, the year the Colts played without Peyton Manning due to injury, all the teams that played them got a boost to their strength of schedule based on the record they had the year prior, and not how shitty they were that year when they earned the #1 pick in the draft? Huh?

Michael K.
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Re: Postmortem: NFCCG / Real SB: Sea v Lambs

Post by Michael K. » Mon Jan 26, 2026 9:51 pm

These are results for What was the combined winning percentage of the teams that played the New England Patriots this year?
Show original results
AI Overview
Based on data through the 2025 regular season, the New England Patriots played one of the easiest schedules in recent history, with their opponents finishing with a combined record of 113-176. This resulted in a combined opponent winning percentage of approximately .391.

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douche
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Re: Postmortem: NFCCG / Real SB: Sea v Lambs

Post by douche » Mon Jan 26, 2026 9:52 pm

You tell me how to read it. Wouldn't you need to use the previous season's standings as data to determine the current season's strength of schedule?

Michael K.
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Re: Postmortem: NFCCG / Real SB: Sea v Lambs

Post by Michael K. » Mon Jan 26, 2026 9:57 pm

douche wrote:
Mon Jan 26, 2026 9:52 pm
You tell me how to read it. Wouldn't you need to use the previous season's standings as data to determine the current season's strength of schedule?
When they create the schedules at the beginning of the year, it's based on the finish of the team...but even then it's not the winning percentage. You are slotted based on your finish in division. But I've never heard anyone say that their 2025 strength of schedule is X , and then base it off the team's that they played winning percentage from 2024. That's absurd.

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douche
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Re: Postmortem: NFCCG / Real SB: Sea v Lambs

Post by douche » Mon Jan 26, 2026 10:02 pm

I already asked if I could change my board name to 'absurd', and Darren said that my current name is fine. :D

From the article:

What determines a team's strength of schedule?

A team's strength of schedule is primarily determined by the combined winning percentage of its opponents from the previous season.

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Re: Postmortem: NFCCG / Real SB: Sea v Lambs

Post by Michael K. » Mon Jan 26, 2026 10:55 pm

douche wrote:
Mon Jan 26, 2026 10:02 pm

What determines a team's strength of schedule?

A team's strength of schedule is primarily determined by the combined winning percentage of its opponents from the previous season.
So, if we had a selection committee, like the NCAA, they would base this year's playoff teams off of the record of the teams they played the year before? I think you are looking at a definition for something else. Like I said, the only thing relevant from the 2024 season was deciding each team's schedule. And even that wasn't based on winning percentage but divisional finish. They have first place schedules, second place schedules, third place schedules and fourth place schedules. Strength of schedule isn't even relevant, but it is even less relevant if you are talking about the record of the team the year before you play them!?

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douche
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Re: Postmortem: NFCCG / Real SB: Sea v Lambs

Post by douche » Mon Jan 26, 2026 11:38 pm

I don't know, man. I went to the ESPN article, and that's what it says.

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Sibelius Hindemith
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Re: Postmortem: NFCCG / Real SB: Sea v Lambs

Post by Sibelius Hindemith » Tue Jan 27, 2026 12:48 am

The article you quoted was from August.

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Re: Postmortem: NFCCG / Real SB: Sea v Lambs

Post by Michael K. » Tue Jan 27, 2026 12:58 am

Sibelius Hindemith wrote:
Tue Jan 27, 2026 12:48 am
The article you quoted was from August.
Haha, so, in other words? That was the only data they could use.

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douche
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Re: Postmortem: NFCCG / Real SB: Sea v Lambs

Post by douche » Tue Jan 27, 2026 2:03 am

Yes, I mentioned that. It's dated August 6, 2025, before the season started. And that's what I'm saying... they used the 2024 stats and results to determine 2025's strength of schedule.

How else could they do it?

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