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Re: Mariners acquire Jorge Polanco from the Twins!!!!!

Posted: Tue Jan 30, 2024 11:30 pm
by Sexymarinersfan
D-train wrote:
Tue Jan 30, 2024 11:09 pm
Ha. They were 4th so they would have to fall 7 spots. How about top 5? You should be all over it since you are so confident! :D

https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/major ... &pagenum=1
:lol: I'm good on that. However, I'm confident a Top 10 bullpen would get us into the playoffs, and that most everyone including you, would be happy. :D

Re: Mariners acquire Jorge Polanco from the Twins!!!!!

Posted: Tue Jan 30, 2024 11:35 pm
by roosevelt
Lets hope Polanco has a year or two of quality skills left in him.

Re: Mariners acquire Jorge Polanco from the Twins!!!!!

Posted: Wed Jan 31, 2024 12:32 am
by ice99
I was told by someone to take only the past 3 seasons for a player.

It seems we found our MOTO bat, having hit about 37.5 hrs average per 600 PA from the no. 3 slot.

Re: Mariners acquire Jorge Polanco from the Twins!!!!!

Posted: Wed Jan 31, 2024 12:56 am
by harmony
Big_Maple wrote:
Tue Jan 30, 2024 6:58 pm
This one is a head scratcher. The M's get inf/outfielder Samad Taylor from the Royals for cash or player to be named later.

https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2024/01/ ... oyals.html

Have to admit I've never heard of this guy. With a -0.2 WAR, I don't image this is a headline deal.
The FanGraphs scouting report from last July:
Taylor was drafted by Cleveland and traded to Toronto as part of a package for reliever Joe Smith, then was sent to the Royals as part of last year’s Whit Merrifield deal. He played his way onto the Royals 40-man with a great Arizona Fall League run (he played better than his statline), broke camp with Omaha in 2023, and, after parts of eight seasons in pro ball, made his big league debut in the middle of June.

Taylor can impact the game in a host of ways, mainly with his blazing speed. He barely looks like he’s touching the ground as he floats from base to base, and he’s become a much more efficient basestealer during the last few years. Baseball’s new rules should enable him to make an impact if/when he reaches base. A career .262/.350/.423 hitter in the minors, Taylor’s feel to hit is comfortably below-average and he likely won’t hit enough to be a true righty platoon option on a contender. He’s an average second base defender but, despite his speed, Taylor’s feel for center isn’t good enough for him to play there regularly. Eric Young Jr. is my go-to comp for players who fit in this sort of role, a 2B/LF part-timer whose impact is situational.
https://blogs.fangraphs.com/kansas-city ... ects-2023/

Re: Mariners acquire Jorge Polanco from the Twins!!!!!

Posted: Wed Jan 31, 2024 1:33 am
by bpj
ice99 wrote:
Wed Jan 31, 2024 12:32 am
I was told by someone to take only the past 3 seasons for a player.

It seems we found our MOTO bat, having hit about 37.5 hrs average per 600 PA from the no. 3 slot.
Sounds like great advice to focus on the most relevant seasons! Ichiro from 2009-2011 wasn't quite the player he had been from 2001-2008, for example, so judging how he'd do in 2012 based on 2009-2011 seems more prudent than including previous seasons.

Which player is the MOTO bat? For Polanco it looks like he has a 26.4 HR/600 PA from 2021-2023.

(63HR/1432PA)*600

But that's across all plate appearances the last three seasons, were you just running numbers on when he was batting third or are you talking about another player? Or did I just get my math wrong?

Seems like great news if any of them have a 37.5 HR / 600 pace over the past three seasons!

Re: Mariners acquire Jorge Polanco from the Twins!!!!!

Posted: Wed Jan 31, 2024 1:38 am
by ice99
bpj wrote:
Wed Jan 31, 2024 1:33 am
ice99 wrote:
Wed Jan 31, 2024 12:32 am
I was told by someone to take only the past 3 seasons for a player.

It seems we found our MOTO bat, having hit about 37.5 hrs average per 600 PA from the no. 3 slot.
Sounds like great advice to focus on the most relevant seasons! Ichiro from 2009-2011 wasn't quite the player he had been from 2001-2008, for example, so judging how he'd do in 2012 based on 2009-2011 seems more prudent than including previous seasons.

Which player is the MOTO bat? For Polanco it looks like he has a 26.4 HR/600 PA from 2021-2023.

(63HR/1432PA)*600

But that's across all plate appearances the last three seasons, were you just running numbers on when he was batting third or are you talking about another player? Or did I just get my math wrong?

Seems like great news if any of them have a 37.5 HR / 600 pace over the past three seasons!
Batting in the no. 3 slot, did I say something else?

It looks like 37.5 hrs/600 PA.

Re: Mariners acquire Jorge Polanco from the Twins!!!!!

Posted: Wed Jan 31, 2024 2:04 am
by bpj
ice99 wrote:
Wed Jan 31, 2024 1:38 am
bpj wrote:
Wed Jan 31, 2024 1:33 am
ice99 wrote:
Wed Jan 31, 2024 12:32 am
I was told by someone to take only the past 3 seasons for a player.

It seems we found our MOTO bat, having hit about 37.5 hrs average per 600 PA from the no. 3 slot.
Sounds like great advice to focus on the most relevant seasons! Ichiro from 2009-2011 wasn't quite the player he had been from 2001-2008, for example, so judging how he'd do in 2012 based on 2009-2011 seems more prudent than including previous seasons.

Which player is the MOTO bat? For Polanco it looks like he has a 26.4 HR/600 PA from 2021-2023.

(63HR/1432PA)*600

But that's across all plate appearances the last three seasons, were you just running numbers on when he was batting third or are you talking about another player? Or did I just get my math wrong?

Seems like great news if any of them have a 37.5 HR / 600 pace over the past three seasons!
Batting in the no. 3 slot, did I say something else?

It looks like 37.5 hrs/600 PA.

15/195
8/166
2/39

Would you like to bet whether he'll hit for a 37.5 HR/600PA pace this season?

Re: Mariners acquire Jorge Polanco from the Twins!!!!!

Posted: Wed Jan 31, 2024 2:21 am
by ice99
bpj wrote:
Wed Jan 31, 2024 2:04 am
ice99 wrote:
Wed Jan 31, 2024 1:38 am
bpj wrote:
Wed Jan 31, 2024 1:33 am


Sounds like great advice to focus on the most relevant seasons! Ichiro from 2009-2011 wasn't quite the player he had been from 2001-2008, for example, so judging how he'd do in 2012 based on 2009-2011 seems more prudent than including previous seasons.

Which player is the MOTO bat? For Polanco it looks like he has a 26.4 HR/600 PA from 2021-2023.

(63HR/1432PA)*600

But that's across all plate appearances the last three seasons, were you just running numbers on when he was batting third or are you talking about another player? Or did I just get my math wrong?

Seems like great news if any of them have a 37.5 HR / 600 pace over the past three seasons!
Batting in the no. 3 slot, did I say something else?

It looks like 37.5 hrs/600 PA.

15/195
8/166
2/39

Would you like to bet whether he'll hit for a 37.5 HR/600PA pace this season?
He has good stats. I was told by someone to use 3 years stats.

Re: Mariners acquire Jorge Polanco from the Twins!!!!!

Posted: Wed Jan 31, 2024 2:37 am
by bpj
ice99 wrote:
Wed Jan 31, 2024 2:21 am
bpj wrote:
Wed Jan 31, 2024 2:04 am
ice99 wrote:
Wed Jan 31, 2024 1:38 am


Batting in the no. 3 slot, did I say something else?

It looks like 37.5 hrs/600 PA.

15/195
8/166
2/39

Would you like to bet whether he'll hit for a 37.5 HR/600PA pace this season?
He has good stats. I was told by someone to use 3 years stats.
And yet, instead, you used 400 of his PA out of the 1,432 PA over the three years.

Don't worry, I wouldn't stand behind my claim either if I'd done what you did.

Re: Mariners acquire Jorge Polanco from the Twins!!!!!

Posted: Wed Jan 31, 2024 2:41 am
by D-train
Probably a correlation between RBIs and where someone hits in the lineup but can't imagine one or HRs but who knows...