Virus Schmirus

[D-train]

Fox is showing the slowing growth. Guessing they will be the only one.

New York Times has a story on slowing growth here in Washington.
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/29/us/s ... -rate.html

It sure is hopeful to see evidence of the end to exponential growth. When the US had 4,000 cases I calculated that if total infections doubled every three days, we would hit 128,000 by today (we are above that) and 1 million (1.024 million actually) by April 8. And over 8 million by April 17.

I guess it could have happened with zero measures to combat the spread.......but even then exponential growth is almost impossible to maintain as the denominator in the equation gets bigger....

[Double Mocha Man]

I feel really bad for NY. Would not want to be there. If they would secede from the Union then our numbers would look really good. j/k. NY is the Wuhan of America.

Might because the NYC City Council members and Health Commissionors and mayor told everyone to go party in China town and not Change behavior for Chinese new year and parade. But hey at latest they can't be accused of being "racist"

https://twitter.com/brithume/status/1243174661573300231

Echos of Mardi Gras...

[gil]

Fox is showing the slowing growth. Guessing they will be the only one.

New York Times has a story on slowing growth here in Washington.
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/29/us/s ... -rate.html

It sure is hopeful to see evidence of the end to exponential growth. When the US had 4,000 cases I calculated that if total infections doubled every three days, we would hit 128,000 by today (we are above that) and 1 million (1.024 million actually) by April 8. And over 8 million by April 17.

I guess it could have happened with zero measures to combat the spread.......but even then exponential growth is almost impossible to maintain as the denominator in the equation gets bigger....

What do you think it would have looked like if there had been no measures taken?

[D-train]

New York Times has a story on slowing growth here in Washington.
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/29/us/s ... -rate.html

It sure is hopeful to see evidence of the end to exponential growth. When the US had 4,000 cases I calculated that if total infections doubled every three days, we would hit 128,000 by today (we are above that) and 1 million (1.024 million actually) by April 8. And over 8 million by April 17.

I guess it could have happened with zero measures to combat the spread.......but even then exponential growth is almost impossible to maintain as the denominator in the equation gets bigger....

What do you think it would have looked like if there had been no measures taken?

Could have been crazy. Back then you could have one positive person attend a house party and infect dozens of people. And then those dozens go out and infect a few hundred. Now the most a person will infect is a couple a day and most infected peoples stay home and infect nobody. Massive difference. Keep in mind we aren't even two weeks into the shelter at home orders. That is why new cases are flattening and will soon start falling. 18k so far today after 20k Sat and Sun.

[D-train]

https://twitter.com/ScottGottliebMD/sta ... 5821411329

[D-train]

Here is another good Corona model. I think I like this one better than mine.

jessica-harbour.jpg (42.09 KiB) Viewed 1482 times

[D-train]

Unreal....

https://twitter.com/mj_lee/status/1244712946225340417

[Double Mocha Man]

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[Double Mocha Man]

Clever. Just make sure to practice social distancing with the new model...

[Double Mocha Man]

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