Mariner Talk Chat Forum

Everyone else is doing it, so here is my shot.

First of all I am operating under the assumption that there will be a bit of a payroll bump but not huge. This pretty much precludes massive free agent acquisitions of guys making 20-30 Million a year. Spotrac has the adjusted 2025 Payroll for the M's including the deadline acquisitions at $165.59 Million. I allowed myself around a 10% increase to 180 Million. If nobody else increases payroll that would move the M's from 15th to 13th in Baseball.


Trade 1
George Kirby and Michael Arroyo for Jarren Duran (BTV Value 79.1 – 73.1 in favor of Boston)
Duran put u a 4.7 WAR and a 114 OPS + in 2025. He has 3 years of control his 2026 Salary will be $7.7 Mil

Trade 2
Tai Peete, Korbyn Dickerson and Michael Morales for Yandy Diaz and Pete Fairbanks (BTV Value 10.3 - 7.5 in favor of Tampa)
Diaz put up a 3.4 WAR and a 136 OPS+ in 2025. He has 1 year year at $12 Mil with a $10 Mil club option for 27
Fairbanks put up a 1.2 WAR with a 2.83 ERA out of the pen in 2025. He has 1 year of control at $12.5 Mil

Trade 3
Jonny Farmelo and Nick Becker for Brendan Donovan (BTV Value 29.3 - 26.1 in favor of St. Louis)
Donovan put up a 2.7 WAR and a 119 OPS+ in 2025. He is under control for 2 years expected arbitration number in 2026 $5.75 Mil

Free Agency
Resign Polanco for DH 2 years $25 Mil

Sign Lefty Reliever Danny Coulombe for 2 Years $18 Mil
Coulumbe put up a 1.4 WAR with a 2.30 ERA last Season


Lineup
RF Durran(L) 4.7 WAR $7.7Mil
CF Julio (R) 6.8 WAR $20.1 Mil
C Cal (R) 7.4 WAR $12.7 Mil
1B Diaz (R) 3.4 WAR $12 Mil
DH Polanco (S) 2.6 WAR $12.5 Mil
LF Randy (R) 3.9 WAR $17 Mil
2b Donovan (L) 2.7 WAR $5.75 Mil
3b Williamson (R) 1.3 WAR $.8Mil
SS JP (R) 3.8 WAR $12 Mil

Bench
Ford (R) 0 WAR $.8 MIl
Robles (R) -.2 WAR $5.1 Mil
Canzone (L) 1.6 WAR $.8 Mil
Young (L) .5 WAR $.8 Mil
Rivas (S) .8 WAR $.8 Mil


Rotation
Woo 4.2 WAR $.8 Mil
Gilbert 2.1 WAR $10 Mil
Miller -.8 WAR $2 Mil
Castillo 2.1 WAR $24.1 Mil
Evans/Hancock/Sloan/Anderson ? WAR .8 Mil

Bullpen
Munoz (R) 2.4 WAR $6.8 Mil
Brash (R) 1.0 WAR $1.5 Mil
Fairbanks (R) 1.2 WAR $12.5 Mil
Bazardo (R) 1.8 WAR $.8 Mil
Vargas (R) -.1 WAR $.8 Mil
Speier (L) 1.4 WAR $1.8 Mil
Coulombe (L) 1.4 WAR $9 Mil

Total WAR for this roster by their 2025 numbers was 56.0
2025 WAR for the M’s was 40.4

Total Payroll $179.75 Mil
2025 Payroll adjusted for trade acquisitions was $165.59 Mil

Looks great but Jerry isn't going to pay 2 relievers $21M.

D-train wrote: ↑

Wed Nov 05, 2025 8:55 pm

Looks great but Jerry isn't going to pay 2 relievers $21M.

He's spent big on Relievers before. Scrabble comes to mind.

Captain 97 wrote: ↑

Wed Nov 05, 2025 9:24 pm

D-train wrote: ↑

Wed Nov 05, 2025 8:55 pm

Looks great but Jerry isn't going to pay 2 relievers $21M.

He's spent big on Relievers before. Scrabble comes to mind.

Yes he has but hasn't since the start of the rebuild. All the ones that he signed sucked so he switched to the Pile mode that worked out for a while.

The lineup is A-OK.

But that rotation severely weakened.

And you forgot about Luke the Nuke Raley

And unless Ben’s boost in AAA down the stretch translates to MLB level and he is a legit corner bat I would have Polo @ 2B, Donavan at 3B and Yandy and Luke sharing most of the AB’s at 1B and DH

Pharmabro wrote: ↑

Wed Nov 05, 2025 10:48 pm

And unless Ben’s boost in AAA down the stretch translates to MLB level and he is a legit corner bat I would have Polo @ 2B, Donavan at 3B and Yandy and Luke sharing most of the AB’s at 1B and DH

Polo can get some run at 2b but I am not convinced he can play there full time. Donovan would be an ideal pickup because his positional flexibility allows you to move him around and make room for Any of the young guys who might push their way to the big league level. I think Raley's days with the team are numbered. I suspect they try to move him.

On The rotation, I really think that one of the young guys will make a push to claim a spot in the rotation this year. Anderson could be next years Trey Yesavage. I also think that better luck with health will see improvement from Gilbert and Miller.

I can only assume my off season plan is getting less responses because nobody can find anything to disagree with right?

Captain 97 wrote: ↑

Thu Nov 13, 2025 11:08 pm

I can only assume my off season plan is getting less responses because nobody can find anything to disagree with right?

Yeah, pretty much

If the Padres are serious about acquiring Duran, they are going to have to make a significant trade offer to the Red Sox. The belief here is that the Padres will have to send 2nd baseman Jake Cronenworth and one of the team's strong relief pitchers to the Red Sox to make it happen

Theres a offer for Duran, I didn't think Cronenworth had much value

https://clutchpoints.com/mlb/san-diego- ... rren-duran