Finally! Official Hot Stove League thread!
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Donn Beach
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Re: Finally! Official Hot Stove League thread!
I don't really see them getting offered more than Hancock. He projects as a mid rotation type but they aren't getting a top of the rotation prospect for Kepler
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Seattle or Bust
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Re: Finally! Official Hot Stove League thread!
Who is projecting the current version of Hancock as a mid-rotation starter?Donn Beach wrote: ↑Sun Nov 12, 2023 5:18 pmI don't really see them getting offered more than Hancock. He projects as a mid rotation type but they aren't getting a top of the rotation prospect for Kepler
He was hitting 93 max reducing to 90-91 by the 4th inning of all of his starts and then he injured his shoulder again.
Mid-rotation projected starters don't have $4 million in surplus trade value with 6+ years of control.
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Donn Beach
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Re: Finally! Official Hot Stove League thread!
MLB
While he might not possess true plus stuff the way Bryce Miller does, Hancock is a reliable strike thrower in the eyes of most Mariners scouts, and because of his pitch mix and profile, he probably has a more legitimate shot at remaining a starter, even if it’s a mid-to-back-rotation projection.
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Seattle or Bust
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Re: Finally! Official Hot Stove League thread!
"Mid to back."Donn Beach wrote: ↑Sun Nov 12, 2023 5:34 pmMLB
While he might not possess true plus stuff the way Bryce Miller does, Hancock is a reliable strike thrower in the eyes of most Mariners scouts, and because of his pitch mix and profile, he probably has a more legitimate shot at remaining a starter, even if it’s a mid-to-back-rotation projection.
Nothing about how he threw last year tells you he's any better than a no. 5. He's not going to be valued any more than that until his stuff ticks WAY up. Woo and Miller are mid-rotation projected starters at this point, certainly not Hancock.
I expected him to come out last year throwing 94-96... his velo being that down is big concerning. And he was injured, AGAIN.
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Donn Beach
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Re: Finally! Official Hot Stove League thread!
Yeah, his velocity is down, he's been injured, to me he is the sort of player they should hope to get for Kepler. Kepler is a 3 WAR player with a season left on his contact. Yeah, hitting is dear, that's why they get a prospect like Hancock for a season of Kepler
Last edited by Donn Beach on Sun Nov 12, 2023 5:50 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Seattle or Bust
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Re: Finally! Official Hot Stove League thread!
Not when the hitting market is weak and the dude is coming off an elite 2nd half.Donn Beach wrote: ↑Sun Nov 12, 2023 5:42 pmTo me he is the sort of player they should hope to get for Kepler. Kepler is a 3 WAR player with a season left on his contact. Yeah, hitting is dear, that's why they get a prospect like Hancock for a season of Kepler
And I'm not sure why you're only referring to Kepler now... the deal proposed also included Cabby for both Kepler and Polanco.
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Donn Beach
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Re: Finally! Official Hot Stove League thread!
Because I'm trying to simplify it. I have no interest at all on three months of baseball from the previous season, that's SSS, and I don't see the connection to the next season. The reason the twins could get a starting pitching prospect like Hancock is because his velocity is down and he's been injured, if that wasn't the case they aren't getting him.
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Seattle or Bust
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Re: Finally! Official Hot Stove League thread!
If you're not interested in 3 months of baseball from the previous season then Cabby is worthless and the trade proposed is null.Donn Beach wrote: ↑Sun Nov 12, 2023 5:56 pmBecause I'm trying to simplify it. I have no interest at all on three months of baseball from the previous season, that's SSS. The reason the twins could get a starting pitching prospect like Hancock is because his velocity is down and he's been injured, if that wasn't the case they aren't getting him.
As I said, a team trading for him would have to believe his first 3 months are indicative of what he can do moving forward. Teams also have to believe that Hancock can stay on a mound in the bigs without getting injured or he also has next to no trade value.
You don't trade 3 and 4 fWAR big league players for those kinds of question marks... I don't care how many years of service left.
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Donn Beach
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Re: Finally! Official Hot Stove League thread!
Sure, they have to believe all those things, cabbys value isn't based on three months of baseball. Sorry but I don't see a particular connection between the final three months of a season and the beginning of the next one. It's great that he played some good baseball and he gets credit for it. But I don't see where because it was at the end of the previous season it carries over to the next.
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Seattle or Bust
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Re: Finally! Official Hot Stove League thread!
Then you also shouldn't see why a 27 year old rookie he played well out over his ski's for 3 months should warrant a return of a well established MLB player w. 2x years of cheap club control.Donn Beach wrote: ↑Sun Nov 12, 2023 6:13 pmSure, they have to believe all those things, cabbys value isn't based on three months of baseball. Sorry but I don't see a particular connection between the final three months of a season and the beginning of the next one. It's great that he played some good baseball and he gets credit for it. But I don't see where because it was at the end of the previous season it carries over to the next.
The list of teams who need a good 2B is quite long and teams will be offering much better players than Cabby.
If Hancock wouldn't have gotten hurt I could see a trade for Kepler straight up, but alas.