Win Prediction contest

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rockycola
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Re: Win Prediction contest

Post by rockycola » Fri Sep 12, 2025 6:55 pm

tehmc wrote:
Fri Sep 12, 2025 6:51 pm
rockycola wrote:
Fri Sep 12, 2025 1:12 am
D-train wrote:
Fri Sep 12, 2025 12:20 am
I am pulling this down here since we are about down to it. I will update this after every game. The record is what is required the final 16 games to win. JP is down to a .705 OPS. I don't need to worry about it. Nor do several others that are the only ones to pic a certain win total.

DavidGee24 ................ 97 .......... .715 Eliminated
Vogelbomb ..................96 .......... .698 Eliminated
bpj ............................... 95 .......... .700 Eliminated
mostonmike ................94........... .699 16-0
Pharmabro .................. 93........... .740 15-1
Lonnie in Colorado ..... 93 ........... ? 15-1

Double Mocha Man .... 92 .......... .721 14-2
desbcoach: ................. 92 .......... .686 14-2
rockycola: .................... 91 .......... .681 13-3
techmc ........................ 91 .......... .713 13-3
seattlefan-daBronx ..... 91 .......... .702 13-3

GL_Storm .................... 90 .......... .700 12-4
Mesully11 ................... 90 .......... .673 12-4
ddraig .......................... 90 .......... .704 12-4
Millikin ......................... 89 .......... .730 11-5
Juliooooo .................... 89 .......... .745 ~ JP 11-5

Sibelius Hindemith ..... 88 .......... .698 10-6
D_train ......................... 87 .......... .711 9-7
Captain 97 .................. 86 .......... .688 8-8

Michael K. ................... 86 .......... .685 8-8
TLO Idaho ................... 85 .......... .700 7-9

Coeurd'Alene J . ......... 84 .......... .700 6-10
Xpert DBA ................... 82 .......... .721 4-12
Bil522 .......................... 81 .......... .681 3-13
Walla Walla Dawg ...... 78 .......... .684 0-16
Yeah, JP would almost have to go 0-for the rest of the season to drop to .681 and, I'd rather he got hot.
Getting to 91 wins is feasible if my GT win streak were to continue :D , BUT, seattlefan-daBronx and techmc, who both also picked 91
(both buttholes because I picked 91 first so that's MY number signed, Karen) wins stand to be closer to JP's OPS than me.

GO MARINERS!!!!!!
I would be ecstatic if I lose the tie breaker because that means they went 12-3 to finish it out
You have a good attitude, tehmc!
Rocky Colavito is a Hall of Famer in my book!

DavidGee24
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Location: Phillips Ranch, CA

Re: Win Prediction contest

Post by DavidGee24 » Fri Sep 12, 2025 7:04 pm

Who are those boneheads who had them winning well over 90 games, especially the one who picked them to win 97. What the hell was HE smoking? :D

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bpj
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Re: Win Prediction contest

Post by bpj » Fri Sep 12, 2025 7:24 pm

DavidGee24 wrote:
Fri Sep 12, 2025 7:04 pm
Who are those boneheads who had them winning well over 90 games, especially the one who picked them to win 97. What the hell was HE smoking? :D
Serves us right for trying to be optimistic

MarinerFan4Life
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Re: Win Prediction contest

Post by MarinerFan4Life » Fri Sep 12, 2025 8:50 pm

DT, did I do something bad to get dropped from the list? I didn't think I was that much of a troublemaker... :lol:

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Donn Beach
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Re: Win Prediction contest

Post by Donn Beach » Fri Sep 12, 2025 11:36 pm

D-train wrote:
Fri Sep 12, 2025 6:32 pm
Captain 97 wrote:
Fri Sep 12, 2025 6:27 pm
Teams that win 54% for an entire decade don't win 54% every single year. Some years there lower and some years they pop and are higher. Its those pop years when you have the best chance of winning it all. 54% should not be your goal at the beginning of the year. Since the year 2000 World Series champions have averaged 94.7 wins for a .585 winning percentage. The only team to win a world series below .540 was the Cardinals in 2006.
:!: :!: :!:
which i pretty much verbatim what dipoto said in the first place. My point is people construe 54% as being mediocre when in fact its a pretty good season as well as a pretty good decade. that's the thing about baseball, there isn't a lot of winning to be done in the first place

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D-train
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Re: Win Prediction contest

Post by D-train » Fri Sep 12, 2025 11:42 pm

MarinerFan4Life wrote:
Fri Sep 12, 2025 8:50 pm
DT, did I do something bad to get dropped from the list? I didn't think I was that much of a troublemaker... :lol:
Could you go back to the thread in the section above and find yourself and let me know where you are? Thanks!
dt

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D-train
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Re: Win Prediction contest

Post by D-train » Fri Sep 12, 2025 11:43 pm

Donn Beach wrote:
Fri Sep 12, 2025 11:36 pm
D-train wrote:
Fri Sep 12, 2025 6:32 pm
Captain 97 wrote:
Fri Sep 12, 2025 6:27 pm
Teams that win 54% for an entire decade don't win 54% every single year. Some years there lower and some years they pop and are higher. Its those pop years when you have the best chance of winning it all. 54% should not be your goal at the beginning of the year. Since the year 2000 World Series champions have averaged 94.7 wins for a .585 winning percentage. The only team to win a world series below .540 was the Cardinals in 2006.
:!: :!: :!:
which i pretty much verbatim what dipoto said in the first place. My point is people construe 54% as being mediocre when in fact its a pretty good season as well as a pretty good decade. that's the thing about baseball, there isn't a lot of winning to be done in the first place
There is definitely not a lot of winning by teams the have never been to the WS or that have 20+ year playoff droughts.
dt

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rockycola
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Location: Alderwood Manor, WA

Re: Win Prediction contest

Post by rockycola » Fri Sep 12, 2025 11:57 pm

rockycola wrote:
Fri Sep 12, 2025 6:55 pm
tehmc wrote:
Fri Sep 12, 2025 6:51 pm
rockycola wrote:
Fri Sep 12, 2025 1:12 am

Yeah, JP would almost have to go 0-for the rest of the season to drop to .681 and, I'd rather he got hot.
Getting to 91 wins is feasible if my GT win streak were to continue :D , BUT, seattlefan-daBronx and techmc, who both also picked 91
(both buttholes because I picked 91 first so that's MY number signed, Karen) wins stand to be closer to JP's OPS than me.

GO MARINERS!!!!!!
I would be ecstatic if I lose the tie breaker because that means they went 12-3 to finish it out
You have a good attitude, tehmc!
Rocky Colavito is a Hall of Famer in my book!

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Donn Beach
Posts: 17799
Joined: Thu May 02, 2019 1:06 am

Re: Win Prediction contest

Post by Donn Beach » Fri Sep 12, 2025 11:58 pm

D-train wrote:
Fri Sep 12, 2025 11:43 pm
Donn Beach wrote:
Fri Sep 12, 2025 11:36 pm
D-train wrote:
Fri Sep 12, 2025 6:32 pm


:!: :!: :!:
which i pretty much verbatim what dipoto said in the first place. My point is people construe 54% as being mediocre when in fact its a pretty good season as well as a pretty good decade. that's the thing about baseball, there isn't a lot of winning to be done in the first place
There is definitely not a lot of winning by teams the have never been to the WS or that have 20+ year playoff droughts.
my point is there isn't a lot of winning for teams that do make the playoffs generally either, I really find it kind of fascinating. 54% is BS, that's 88 wins? What about 92 wins? That gets to be considered a successful season doesn't it? So the difference between success and mediocrity is four wins over a 162 game season. There's something about that i find crazy

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rockycola
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Re: Win Prediction contest

Post by rockycola » Sat Sep 13, 2025 12:05 am

D-train wrote:
Fri Sep 12, 2025 11:42 pm
MarinerFan4Life wrote:
Fri Sep 12, 2025 8:50 pm
DT, did I do something bad to get dropped from the list? I didn't think I was that much of a troublemaker... :lol:
Could you go back to the thread in the section above and find yourself and let me know where you are? Thanks!
I found it on page 8 of the thread. Page 9 showed his name within the whole list of protagonists.
~
MarinerFan4Life.jpg
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Rocky Colavito is a Hall of Famer in my book!

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